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Week 17 Results

Volume VIII-Week 17  Results

January 5, 2007

2006 Results

      

Week

Year to Date

%

Ben's Picks

+1

3-2 41-42-3 49%
Ben's Power Rating (BPR)

4-5

69-55-1

56%

 

Over/Unders

2-2 26-41-2 39%
Teasers 5-0 78-17-1 82%
HD's v Opposite Turf 0-1 19-13 59%

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Ben's Picks

All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise specified.

  • Loser - 5* Giants v WASHINGTON --- Giants playing like midgets, acting like children. Skins play hard.

 

  • WINNER - 5* Pittsburgh v CINCY --- Bengals are fading. Steelers would love to knock them out off playoffs.

 

  • WINNER - 5* San Fran v DENVER --- Niners still showing up, Broncos should not be spotting this big a #.

 

  • WINNER - 4* Arizona v SAN DIEGO --- Cards playing well and line is over inflated.

 

  • Loser - 4* Buffalo v BALTIMORE --- Bills won’t roll over in a low scoring game.

 

 
Picks Results = 3-2 for +5*
 
The Over/Under's

 

  • Green Bay v CHICAGO OVER Loser

·        Cleveland v HOUSTON UNDER WINNER

·        Atlanta v PHILLY UNDER WINNER

·        New England v TENNESSEE UNDER Loser

 

 
O/U Results = 2-2
 
Teasers

  (Teasers MUST include key numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)

·        WASHINGTON +8 WINNER

·        Buffalo +17 No Play

·        Pittsburgh +10 WINNER

·        INDY –3 No Play

·        Seattle +10 No Play

·        PHILLY -3 WINNER

·        San Fran +14.5 WINNER

·        Arizona +20 WINNER

 

 
Teaser Total = 5-0
 
HD's v Opposite Turf Teams
  • WASHINGTON if Dog Loser

 

 
Home Dog Results = 0-1
 

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Potential BPR Plays

    Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check individual game BPR's for any  line movements):

 

  • WASH. +3 or greater
  • Detroit +12 or greater
  • MINNY +1 or greater
  • Seattle +2 or greater
  • Arizona +12 or greater
  • Buffalo +10 or greater
  • Cleveland +5.5 or greater
  • NEW ORLS –3.5 or less
  • New Eng. +1.5 or greater
  • CHICAGO –11.5 or less
  • Miami +10.5 or greater
  • Atlanta +9 or greater
  • San Fran +12 or greater

NFL WEEK 17

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 30, 2006

Potential BPR Plays in Bold

EST

Line

BPR

Play If

Notes

421 New York Giants

E: 8:00

2.5

 

+5

DE Strahan OUT / New O-Coord/ Need W

422 Wash. Redskins

42

-1

+3

REVENGE / CB Springs OUT /

 

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 31, 2006

429 Buffalo Bills

4:15

34

 

+10

7-1 ATS / Out of playoffs

430 Baltimore Ravens

10

-6

-2

Need W for Bye

431 Green Bay Packers

8:15

36

 

+19.5

REVENGE / Need W / Favre’s last hurrah?

432 Chicago Bears

2.5

-15.5

-11.5

3-0 SU v Pack / Resting starters?

433 Pittsburgh Steelers

E: 1:00

43.5

 

+10

REVENGE / Out of playoffs

434 Cincy Bengals

6

-6

-2

Need W / 3-0 O-U v Pitt

435 Detroit Lions

E: 1:00

44

 

+12

Still trying, but stink /0-4 v Dallas

436 Dallas Cowboys

13

-8

-4

Need W / After Mon / Crybaby WR’s

437 Cleveland Browns

E: 1:00

37.5

 

+5.5

Dorsey starts at QB / Running for bus

438 Houston Texans

4

-1.5

+2.5

Big W last week / 0-2 O-U v Clev

439 Miami Dolphins

4:15

42

 

+10.5

After Mon / QB Lemon starts

440 Indy Colts

9

-6.5

-2.5

Need W for Bye / 1-5 / Can’t stop run

441 Jacksonville Jags

E: 1:00

36.5

 

+5.5

Need W / RB Taylor out

442 Kansas City Chiefs

2.5

-1.5

+2.5

Need W / 2-4 / 1-4 O-U v Jags

443 St. Louis Rams

E: 1:00

2.5

 

+7

Need W / Still competing despite injuries

444 Minny Vikings

43

-3

+1

After Thur / 1-8 / CB Smoot on the Love Boat

445 Carolina Panthers

E: 1:00

2.5

 

+11.5

B2B R /QB ? / Need W depending on NYG

446 New Orleans Saints

37

-7.5

-3.5

REVENGE / Clinched Bye / Resting ?

447 Oakland Raiders

E: 1:00

34

 

+17.5

D good but can’t get any help

448 New York Jets

12.5

-13.5

-9.5

After Mon / Win and in

449 Atlanta Falcons

4:15

43

 

+9

Need W / 0-4 O-U v Philly / 2-6

450 Philly Eagles

8

-5

-1

After Mon / Need W for Div / 5-1 v Atl

451 Seattle Seahawks

E: 1:00

36

-2

+2

2-4 / Resting starters

452 Tampa Bay Bucs

3

 

+6

2-0, but 2-6 / 0-3 O-U v Seattle

453 New England Pats

E: 1:00

42

-2.5

+1.5

Clinched Playoff spot / Resting starters?

454 Tennessee Titans

3

 

+4.5

6-0 SU / Still have outside shot

455 San Fran Niners

4:15

42.5

 

+12

1-3 / Still playing hard

456 Denver Broncos

10.5

-8

-4

Need W to clinch / 1-6

457 Arizona Cardinals

4:15

44

 

+12

QB ? / 5-1 / Playing better D

458 San Diego Chargers

13.5

-8

-4

Need W for top seed depending on early gams

 
BPR Results
 Winners - Detroit, Seattle, New England, Arizona
 Losers - Buffalo, CHICAGO, Cleveland, MINNY, NEW ORLEANS, 
No Plays - WASHINGTON, Miami, Atlanta, San Fran
Total - 4-5

Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone Under 21 Years of Age

The Legend

ATS – Against Spread

aft - after

bfr - before

BPR - Ben’s Power Rating

B2B – Back To Back

BOUNCE – Opp. result

D – Dog

Def - defense

DDD – Double Digit Dog

DDF - Double Digit Favorite

DIV - Division

F – Favorite

L - Loss

SAND - Sandwich game

 

H – Home

HD – Home Dog

HF – Home Favorite

HOME TEAM – In Capitals

LW – Last Week

LY – Last Year

N-DIV - Non Division

O/U – Over /Under

OFF – Offense

R – Road

REV – Revenge

SU – Straight Up

V - Versus

W - Win