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Week 3

 

Volume VIII, Week 3

September 22, 2006

2006 Results

      

Week

Year to Date

%

Ben's Picks

+8

2-3 6-4 60%
Ben's Power Rating (BPR)

4-3

8-5

62%

 

Over/Unders

3-1 7-1 88%
Teasers 4-1 10-3 77%
HD's v Opposite Turf 1-2 3-2 60%

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Ben's Picks

All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise specified.

 

  • WINNER - 5* Cincy v PITTSBURGH --- Bengals in midseason form and looking for revenge, Big Ben rusty.

 

  • Tie - 4* Jax v INDY --- Jags defense playing tough and have Colts #, Indy without “Edge”.

 

  • WINNER - 4* Chicago v MINNY --- Bears finally face a real team, Vikes up to the challenge, as a home dog.

 

  • WINNER - 4* Denver v NEW ENG --- Broncos always play Pats tough, too many points in a low scoring game.

 

  • Loser - 3* Washington v HOUSTON --- Redskins should not be spotting especially on the Road.
 
Picks Results = 3-1-1 for +10*
 
The Over/Under's

·       Loser -  Tennessee v MIAMI OVER

·        Loser - Washington v HOUSTON UNDER

·        Tie - Chicago v MINNY UNDER

·        WINNER - Denver v NEW ENGLAND UNDER

 

O/U Results = 1-2-1
 
Teasers

  (Teasers MUST include key numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)

·   WINNER -     Cincy +7

·   WINNER -  Jax +13

·    Loser -    MIAMI –6

·    No Play  -  HOUSTON +10

·    Loser -    DETROIT –2.5

·    Tie -     Baltimore –2.5

·     No Play -    Giants +10

·     WINNER -    Denver +10

 

 
Teaser Total = 3-2-1
 
HD's v Opposite Turf Teams
  • WINNER - MINNY

 

 
Home Dog Results = 1-0
 

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Potential BPR Plays

    Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check individual game BPR's for any  line movements):

 
BPR Results - 4-5-1
 Winners

Tennessee

Green Bay

St. Louis

Seattle

 Losers

Buffalo

Houston

Chicago

San Fran

Atlanta

Jacksonville - Tie

Remember, compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. (Check individual game BPR’s for any line movements):

 

CAUTION!

The BPR numbers below are based on last year’s closing numbers and should only

be used as a guideline until the 4th week of the season.

NFL WEEK 3

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 24, 2006

Potential BPR Plays in Bold

EST

Line

BPR

Play If

Notes

199 New York Jets

E: 1:00

34

 

+14.5

Can’t run / 2 WR’s ?

200 Buffalo Bills

5.5

-10.5

-6.5

D goes after Penny / O will take shots

201 Cincy Bengals

E: 1:00

41.5

 

+7

Palmer looking for revenge

202 Pittsburgh Steelers

1.5

-3

+1

Big Ben not up to form

203 Jacksonville Jags

E: 1:00

44

 

+7

Looked tough on Mon/ Match up w/Colts

204 Indy Colts

7

-3

+1

Missing the “Edge” / Freeney?

205 Tennessee Titans

E: 1:00

35

 

+8

Collins still not ready / D sucks

206 Miami Dolphins

11

-4

pk

Culpepper immobile/Fish need to man up

207 Wash Redskins

E: 1:00

3.5

 

+7

Off Sucks / Need Portis ?

208 Houston Texans

37.5

-3

+1

New Coach, same old shit

209 Chicago Bears

E: 1:00

3.5

-15.5

-11.5

Grossman unleashed LW / D good

210 Minny Vikings

34

 

+19.5

Come to play / Will give Bears a fight

211 Carolina Panthers

E: 1:00

3

-6.5

-2.5

Need WR Smith / Inj’s on D

212 Tampa Bucs

35

 

+10.5

Simms SUCKS / D getting old, inj’s

213 Green Bay Packers

E: 1:00

39

-1

+3

If you can’t beat the Saints at H, why bother?

214 Detroit Lions

6.5

 

+5

Still looking for Off / D toasted in Chic

215 Baltimore Ravens

E: 4:00

6.5

-9.5

-5.5

D looks like old Ravens / Off stalls

216 Cleveland Browns

33.5

 

+13.5

O-line in shambles / Couldn’t stop Cincy

217 St. Louis Rams

E: 4:15

45

 

+5

Off not producing / D improved

218 Arizona Cardinals

4.5

-1

+3

Off can’t run / D still sucks

219 New York Giants

E: 4:15

44

 

+13

Nice comeback / Ready to take next step?

220 Seattle Seahawks

3.5

-9

-5

Need to put up points / Branch Prob.

221 Philly Eagles

E: 4:15

6

 

+8.5

After big letdown, will be pissed / RB ?

222 San Fran Niners

42

-4.5

pk

Nice win, but still not ready for Birds

223 Denver Broncos

E: 8:15

39

 

+8

Plummer still in a funk

224 New England Pats

6.5

-4

pk

Looking for Revenge, but not same team

Bye: Dallas, K.C., Oak, San Diego

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 25, 2006
225 Atlanta Falcons

E: 8:30

3.5

-8.5

-4.5

Dirty Birds look tough, but facing karma

226 New Orleans Saints

42

 

+12.5

Big night, will give it their all

             

 

 

Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone Under 21 Years of Age

The Legend

ATS – Against Spread

aft - after

bfr - before

BPR - Ben’s Power Rating

B2B – Back To Back

BOUNCE – Opp. result

D – Dog

Def - defense

DDD – Double Digit Dog

DDF - Double Digit Favorite

DIV - Division

F – Favorite

L - Loss

SAND - Sandwich game

 

H – Home

HD – Home Dog

HF – Home Favorite

HOME TEAM – In Capitals

LW – Last Week

LY – Last Year

N-DIV - Non Division

O/U – Over /Under

OFF – Offense

R – Road

REV – Revenge

SU – Straight Up

V - Versus

W - Win