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Week 3
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| Volume
VIII, Week 3
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September 22, 2006
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2006 Results
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¶
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Week
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Year to Date
|
%
|
| Ben's Picks |
+8¶
|
2-3 |
6-4 |
60% |
| Ben's
Power Rating (BPR) |
4-3
|
8-5 |
62%
|
|
Over/Unders
|
3-1 |
7-1 |
88% |
| Teasers |
4-1 |
10-3 |
77% |
| HD's v
Opposite Turf |
1-2 |
3-2 |
60% |
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Closing
Lines and Final Scores |
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Ben's
Picks
All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless
otherwise specified.
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- WINNER
- 5* Cincy v PITTSBURGH --- Bengals in
midseason form and looking for revenge, Big Ben rusty.
- Tie
- 4* Jax v INDY --- Jags defense playing
tough and have Colts #, Indy without “Edge”.
- WINNER
- 4* Chicago v MINNY --- Bears finally
face a real team, Vikes up to the challenge, as a home dog.
- WINNER
- 4* Denver v NEW ENG --- Broncos always
play Pats tough, too many points in a low scoring game.
- Loser
- 3* Washington v HOUSTON --- Redskins
should not be spotting especially on the Road.
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Picks Results = 3-1-1
for +10* |
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The Over/Under's
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·
Loser - Tennessee
v MIAMI OVER
·
Loser - Washington v
HOUSTON UNDER
·
Tie
- Chicago v MINNY UNDER
·
WINNER - Denver v NEW
ENGLAND UNDER
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O/U Results = 1-2-1 |
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Teasers
(Teasers MUST include key
numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)
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·
WINNER
-
Cincy +7
·
WINNER
-
Jax +13
·
Loser
-
MIAMI –6
·
No
Play
- HOUSTON +10
·
Loser
-
DETROIT –2.5
·
Tie
-
Baltimore –2.5
·
No
Play -
Giants +10
·
WINNER
-
Denver +10
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Teaser Total = 3-2-1 |
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HD's v Opposite Turf
Teams
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Home Dog Results = 1-0 |
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Closing
Lines and Final Scores |
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Potential BPR Plays
Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power
Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of
4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are
the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check
individual game BPR's for any line movements):
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BPR Results
- 4-5-1
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Winners
Tennessee
Green Bay
St. Louis
Seattle
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Losers
Buffalo
Houston
Chicago
San Fran
Atlanta
Jacksonville - Tie
|
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Remember, compare the BPR
(Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread and if there’s a difference
of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. (Check
individual game BPR’s for any line movements):
CAUTION!
The BPR
numbers below are based on last year’s closing numbers and should only
be used as a
guideline until the 4th week of the season.
NFL WEEK 3
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SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 24, 2006
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Potential BPR Plays in Bold
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EST
|
Line
|
BPR
|
Play
If
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Notes
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199
New York Jets
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E:
1:00
|
34
|
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+14.5
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Can’t
run / 2 WR’s ?
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200 Buffalo Bills
|
5.5
|
-10.5
|
-6.5
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D
goes after Penny / O will take shots
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201
Cincy Bengals
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E:
1:00
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41.5
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+7
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Palmer
looking for revenge
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202
Pittsburgh Steelers
|
1.5
|
-3
|
+1
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Big
Ben not up to form
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203 Jacksonville Jags
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E:
1:00
|
44
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|
+7
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Looked
tough on Mon/ Match up w/Colts
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204
Indy Colts
|
7
|
-3
|
+1
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Missing
the “Edge” / Freeney?
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205 Tennessee Titans
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E:
1:00
|
35
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|
+8
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Collins
still not ready / D sucks
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206
Miami Dolphins
|
11
|
-4
|
pk
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Culpepper
immobile/Fish need to man up
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207
Wash Redskins
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E:
1:00
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3.5
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+7
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Off
Sucks / Need Portis ?
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208 Houston Texans
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37.5
|
-3
|
+1
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New
Coach, same old shit
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209 Chicago Bears
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E:
1:00
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3.5
|
-15.5
|
-11.5
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Grossman
unleashed LW / D good
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210
Minny Vikings
|
34
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|
+19.5
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Come
to play / Will give Bears a fight
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211 Carolina Panthers
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E:
1:00
|
3
|
-6.5
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-2.5
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Need
WR Smith / Inj’s on D
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212
Tampa Bucs
|
35
|
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+10.5
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Simms
SUCKS / D getting old, inj’s
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213 Green Bay Packers
|
E:
1:00
|
39
|
-1
|
+3
|
If
you can’t beat the Saints at H, why bother?
|
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214
Detroit Lions
|
6.5
|
|
+5
|
Still
looking for Off / D toasted in Chic
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215 Baltimore Ravens
|
E:
4:00
|
6.5
|
-9.5
|
-5.5
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D
looks like old Ravens / Off stalls
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216
Cleveland Browns
|
33.5
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|
+13.5
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O-line
in shambles / Couldn’t stop Cincy
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217 St. Louis Rams
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E:
4:15
|
45
|
|
+5
|
Off
not producing / D improved
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218
Arizona Cardinals
|
4.5
|
-1
|
+3
|
Off
can’t run / D still sucks
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219
New York Giants
|
E:
4:15
|
44
|
|
+13
|
Nice
comeback / Ready to take next step?
|
220 Seattle Seahawks
|
3.5
|
-9
|
-5
|
Need
to put up points / Branch Prob.
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221
Philly Eagles
|
E:
4:15
|
6
|
|
+8.5
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After
big letdown, will be pissed / RB ?
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222 San Fran Niners
|
42
|
-4.5
|
pk
|
Nice
win, but still not ready for Birds
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223 Denver Broncos
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E:
8:15
|
39
|
|
+8
|
Plummer
still in a funk
|
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224
New England Pats
|
6.5
|
-4
|
pk
|
Looking
for Revenge, but not same team
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Bye: Dallas, K.C.,
Oak, San Diego
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MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 25, 2006
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225 Atlanta Falcons
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E:
8:30
|
3.5
|
-8.5
|
-4.5
|
Dirty
Birds look tough, but facing karma
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226
New Orleans Saints
|
42
|
|
+12.5
|
Big
night, will give it their all
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Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For
Anyone Under 21 Years of Age
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The Legend
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ATS
– Against Spread
aft
- after
bfr
- before
BPR
- Ben’s Power Rating
B2B
– Back To Back
BOUNCE
– Opp. result
D
– Dog
Def
- defense
DDD
– Double Digit Dog
DDF
- Double Digit Favorite
DIV - Division
F – Favorite
L
- Loss
SAND - Sandwich game
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H – Home
HD – Home Dog
HF – Home Favorite
HOME TEAM – In Capitals
LW – Last Week
LY
– Last Year
N-DIV
- Non Division
O/U
– Over /Under
OFF
– Offense
R
– Road
REV
– Revenge
SU
– Straight Up
V
- Versus
W
- Win
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