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Week 16 Results

Volume VIII-Week 16  Results

December 29, 2006

2006 Results

      

Week

Year to Date

%

Ben's Picks

-4

2-3 38-40-3 49%
Ben's Power Rating (BPR)

4-1

65-50-1

57%

 

Over/Unders

2-3 24-39-2 38%
Teasers 6-1 73-17-1 81%
HD's v Opposite Turf 3-0 19-12 57%

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Ben's Picks

All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise specified.

 

  • Loser - 5* Tampa v CLEVELAND --- Bucs off a tough road loss. Browns opp. finally steps down in class.

 

  • WINNER - 5* Arizona v SAN FRAN ---- Cards have been improving under Leinart.

 

  • WINNER - 4* Carolina v ATLANTA --- Panthers good dog and better coached, Falcons losing focus.

 

  • Loser - 4* New England v JAX --- Pats are not up to par. Jags get revenge for playoff loss.

 

  • Loser - 4* Cincy v DENVER --- Palmer and O-line hurting, Cutler is improving. Wildcard up for grabs.

 

 
Picks Results = 2-3 for -4*
 
The Over/Under's

·        Minny v GREEN BAY UNDER WINNER

·        New Orleans v GIANTS OVER Loser

·        Washington v ST. LOUIS UNDER Loser

·        Arizona v SAN FRAN OVER WINNER

·        Philly v DALLAS OVER Loser

 

 
O/U Results = 2-3
 
Teasers

  (Teasers MUST include key numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)

 

·        Tennessee +10 WINNER

·        New Orleans +8 WINNER

·        Carolina +11 WINNER

·        Washington +7 WINNER

·        Indy –3 Loser

·        Arizona +10 No Play

·        Philly +13 WINNER

·        Jets +8 WINNER

 

 
Teaser Total = 6-1
 
HD's v Opposite Turf Teams

 

  • ST. LOUIS if Dog No Play
  • HOUSTON WINNER
  • DETROIT WINNER
  • SEATTLE WINNER

 

 
Home Dog Results = 3-0
 

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Potential BPR Plays

    Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check individual game BPR's for any  line movements):

 

  • Minny +6 or greater
  • HOUSTON +3 or greater
  • Chicago –4 or less
  • SEATTLE +4.5 or greater

 

  • Carolina +9.5 or greater
  • Baltimore +1.5 or greater
  • N. England +3.5 or greater
  • Philly +8.5 or greater
  • ST. LOUIS +1 or greater
  • CLEVELAND -3.5 or less
  • Arizona +4.5 or greater
  • Jets +2 or greater

NFL WEEK 16

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 21, 2006

Potential BPR Plays in Bold

EST

Line

BPR

Play If

Notes

303 Minny Vikings

E: 8:00

37

 

+6

1-7 / QB Jackson 1st start / 3 or 4 R / Short week

304 Green Bay Packers

3.5

-2

+2

Won’t be able to run v Min/ Favre has to step up

 

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 23, 2006

309 Kansas City Chiefs

E: 8:00

6.5

-5.5

-1.5

B2B R / Still alive / R team is 11-1 in series

310 Oakland Raiders

36

 

+9.5

REV/ WR ? / 1-3 O-U v Chiefs / Offense sucks

 

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 24, 2006

317 Tennessee Titans

E: 1:00

36.5

 

+10

5-0 SU / RB Henry returns / Need W

318 Buffalo Bills

4.5

-6

-2

7-0 / 5-2 SU / 1-14 after Miami / Need W

319 New Orleans Saints

E: 1:00

47

 

+7.5

Playing for Bye / 6-1 R / WR, TE ?

320 New York Giants

3

-3.5

+1

1-5 / B2B H / Need W / DE Strahan ?

321 Carolina Panthers

E: 1:00

42

 

+9.5

DO OR DIE / 0-4 SU / REVENGE / Many Injs

322 Atlanta Falcons

6.5

-5.5

-1.5

B2B H / Need W / 2-5 SU / QB Vick ?

323 Washington Redskins

E: 1:00

43

 

+7.5

B2B R / 3-1 / QB Campbell learning ropes

324 St. Louis Rams

2

-3.5

+1

2-6 / Bulger protecting ball, but not getting help

325 Indy Colts

E: 1:00

9.5

-1

+3

After Mon W/ Looking for BYE/ 9-0 SU v Txns

326 Houston Texans

47

 

+5

REVENGE / Many injuries on both sides of ball

327 Baltimore Ravens

E: 1:00

36

-2.5

+1.5

QB McNair ? / Playing for bye /

328 Pittsburgh Steelers

3

 

+6.5

REVENGE / 5-1 SU / Need W/ 3 S ?/ 5-1 O-u H

329 Tampa Bay Bucs

E: 1:00

36

 

+11.5

QB Rattay starts / B2B R, after L in OT / 1-5 R

330 Cleveland Browns

3

-7.5

-3.5

QB Anderson starts / Many injuries on defense

331 Chicago Bears

E: 1:00

4.5

-8

-4

1-1 R in Dec / Clinched, resting starters ?

332 Detroit Lions

42

 

+12

REVENAGE / 0-6 SU / 3-7H / Many injuries

333 New England Pats

E: 1:00

37

+3.5

5-1 R / Not the same Pats

334 Jacksonville Jags

2.5

 

+4.5

6-1 SU H / REVENGE for playoff loss /

335 Arizona Cardinals

4:00

45

 

+4.5

4-1 / 3-1 v Niners / 9-23 R / 25-7 O-U R /

336 San Fran Niners

4

+3.5

After Thur / REVENGE / 5-2 / Need W /

337 Cincy Bengals

4:15

44

 

+6

QB Palmer ? / B2B R / O-line injuries / Need W

338 Denver Broncos

3

-2

+2

7-16 HF / Need W / Cutler getting better

339 San Diego Chargers

4:15

4.5

+3.5

16-5 R / Will run on Hawks

340 Seattle Seahawks

46.5

 

+4.5

After Thur / B2B H / 2-8-1 / Need W /

 

MONDAY, DECEMBER 25, 2006

343 Philly Eagles

5:00

46.5

 

+8.5

3rd R game and 3rd Div game / Need W /

344 Dallas Cowboys

7

-4.5

Pk

REV. / 3-1 v Philly / Need W / T.O.’s Rev?

345 New York Jets

8:30

36.5

-2

+2

6-0 v Miami / Need W / B2B R /

346 Miami Dolphins

2.5

 

+6

REVENGE / 1-13 HF in Dec / RB Brown ?

 
BPR Results
 Winners - HOUSTON, Baltimore, SEATTLE, Jets
 Losers - CLEVELAND
No Plays - Minny, Carolina, ST. LOUIS, Chicago, New England, Arizona, Philly
Total - 4-1

Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone Under 21 Years of Age

The Legend

ATS – Against Spread

aft - after

bfr - before

BPR - Ben’s Power Rating

B2B – Back To Back

BOUNCE – Opp. result

D – Dog

Def - defense

DDD – Double Digit Dog

DDF - Double Digit Favorite

DIV - Division

F – Favorite

L - Loss

SAND - Sandwich game

 

H – Home

HD – Home Dog

HF – Home Favorite

HOME TEAM – In Capitals

LW – Last Week

LY – Last Year

N-DIV - Non Division

O/U – Over /Under

OFF – Offense

R – Road

REV – Revenge

SU – Straight Up

V - Versus

W - Win