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Week 16 Results

Volume IX-Week 16

December 27, 2007

2007 Results

   Ά   

Week

Year to Date

%

Ben's Picks

-28Ά

4-2 37-42-2 47%
Ben's Power Rating (BPR)

5-2

56-52-1

52%

Teasers 4-4 48-33-2 59%

Over/Unders

2-3 32-34-1 49%
HD's v Opposite Turf 2-1 19-22 46%

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Ben's Picks

All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise specified.

Thursday Night – 8:15

  • Loser - 4* Pittsburgh v ST. LOUIS --- Steelers in a funk, Rams can score.

 

  • Loser - 5* Houston v INDY -- Texans playing tough, Colts resting, clinched playoff bye and D-line injured.

 

  • WINNER - 5* Philly v NEW ORLEANS --- Eagles get revenge for playoff loss to Saints.

 

  • WINNER - 4* Cleveland v CINCY --- Browns due for a letdown, Bengals know they can score v Cleveland.

 

  • WINNER - 4* Washington v MINNY --- Skins a tough out, game a must win for both sided.

 

  • WINNER - 4* Tampa v SAN FRAN --- Bucs clinched Division, Niners QB, Hill, actually getting the job done.
 
Pick Results = 4-2 for +8*
 
Teasers

  (Teasers MUST include key numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)

·        ST. LOUIS +14 Loser

·        Green Bay -3 Loser

·        Houston +11 Loser

·        DETROIT Pk WINNER

·        BUFFALO +7 Loser

·        Philly +7 WINNER

·        Jets +14 WINNER

·        SAN DIEGO -3 WINNER

 
Teaser Results = 4-4
 
The Over/Under's

·        Cleveland v CINCY OVER Loser

·        Giants v BUFFALO OVER WINNER

·        Washington v MINNY UNDER Loser

·        Atlanta v ARIZONA OVER WINNER

·        Tampa v SAN FRAN UNDER Loser

 
O/U Results = 2-3
 
HD's v Opposite Turf Teams

·        ST. LOUIS Loser

·        CAROLINA WINNER

·        CINCY WINNER

 
Home Dog Results = 2-1
 

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Potential BPR Plays

    Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check individual game BPR's for any  line movements):

 
  • ST. LOUIS +9.5 or greater
  • CHICAGO +6 or greater
  • Oakland +12 or greater
  • SAN DIEGO -8 or less
  • CAROL. +7 or greater
  • Miami +18 or greater
  • Jets +8 or greater
  • CINCY +3.5 or greater
  • BUFFALO +1 or greater
  • SAN FRAN +6.5 or greatr

NFL WEEK 16

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 20, 2007

Potential BPR Plays in Bold

EST

Line

BPR

Play If

Notes

301 Pittsburgh Steelers

8:15

7.5

-5.5

-1.5

0-2 SU / Need to stop slide to top Div

302 St. Louis Rams

44

 

+9.5

Injured off-line may have trouble v Pitt blitz

 

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 21, 2007

307 Dallas Cowboys

8:15

10.5

-3

+1

4-1 ATS v Carolina / Romo thumb? /

308 Carolina Panthers

43

 

+7

Matt Moore starts at QB – Who?

 

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 23, 2007

315 Cleveland Browns

1:00

2.5

 

+4.5

3 in 4 on road / Need for playoffs

316 Cincy Bengals

44

+3.5

REVENGE / BAD defense LW not good v Clev

317 Green Bay Packers

1:00

8.5

-2

+2

REVENGE / Need win for home field

318 Chicago Bears

38

 

+6

Kyle Orton starts/ Can off. keep up with Brett

319 Houston Texans

1:00

46

 

+11

4-2 SU / Putting it together

320 Indy Colts

7

-7

-3

2-4 ATS / Clinched playoff bye may rest starters

321 Kansas City Chiefs

1:00

43.5

 

+9.5

Croyle starts at QB / Lost last 7

322 Detroit Lions

4

-5.5

-1.5

Lost last 6

323 Miami Dolphins

4:15

43

 

+18

Finally won one / In tough here

324 New England Pats

21.5

-14

-10

Will they go all out?

325 New York Giants

1:00

3

 

+7

Shockey OUT / Need Win for playoffs

326 Buffalo Bills

33

-3

+1

Out of playoffs / 5-1 HD / Will they play hard

327 Oakland Raiders

1:00

39

 

+12

QB Russell will either start or finish

328 Jacksonville Jags

12.5

-8

-4

Playing great, but due for a letdown after Pitt.

329 Philly Eagles

1:00

47

 

+8.5

Revenge for getting booted in playoffs

330 New Orleans Saints

3

-4.5

Pk

Playing better, but missing 2 RB

331 Wash. Redskins

8:15

41

 

+11.5

QB Collins keeping it together

332 Minny Vikings

6.5

-7.5

-3.5

Game has playoffs implications for both teams

333 Atlanta Falcons

4:00

43

 

+13.5

Falcons have quit – including coach

334 Arizona Cardinals

10

-9.5

-5.5

Defense has many injuries

335 Baltimore Ravens

4:15

39.5

 

+15

Embarrassed / Inmates are running the asylum

336 Seattle Seahawks

10

-11

-7

Already locked up Division

337 New York Jets

4:15

37

 

+8

QB-Pennington starts / Post Pats letdown?

338 Tennessee Titans

9

-4

Pk

Still have a playoff shot

339 Tampa Bay Bucs

4:00

7

-2.5

+1.5

Clinched Division – Will starters rest?

340 San Fran Niners

37

 

+6.5

Playing better with Hill at QB

 

MONDAY, DECEMBER 24, 2007

343 Denver Broncos

8:30

47

 

+16

Revenge and pride on the line

344 San Diego Chargers

9

-12

-8

Finally putting it all together at the right time

 
BPR Results
 Winners - CAROLINA, CHICAGO, Miami, Jets, SAN FRAN
 Losers - BUFFALO, Oakland
No Plays - ST. LOUIS, CINCY, SAN DIEGO
BPR Results - 5-2
 

Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone Under 21 Years of Age

The Legend

ATS – Against Spread

aft - after

bfr - before

BPR - Ben’s Power Rating

B2B – Back To Back

BOUNCE – Opp. result

D – Dog

Def - defense

DDD – Double Digit Dog

DDF - Double Digit Favorite

DIV - Division

F – Favorite

L - Loss

SAND - Sandwich game

 

H – Home

HD – Home Dog

HF – Home Favorite

HOME TEAM – In Capitals

LW – Last Week

LY – Last Year

N-DIV - Non Division

O/U – Over /Under

OFF – Offense

R – Road

REV – Revenge

SU – Straight Up

V - Versus

W - Win