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Championship Results

Volume VIII-Week Championship

January 31, 2007

2006 Results

      

Week

Year to Date

%

Ben's Picks

-16

2-1 47-51-3 48%
Ben's Power Rating (BPR)

1-1

71-58-1

55%

 

Over/Unders

1-1 32-45-3 42%
Teasers 1-1 84-21-1 80%
HD's v Opposite Turf 0-0 19-13 59%

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Ben's Picks

All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise specified.

 

Loser

·        5* New Orleans v CHICAGO --- The Bears do not impress me. They supposedly have this fantastic defense and a humongous home field advantage, but I’m just not buying it. Chicago was tooth and nails to beat a mediocre Seahawks squad last week, needing overtime to “Bearly” win. Last year they got waxed in the playoffs, at home, by the Panthers. Chicago has little offense and a QB that can’t be trusted. The Saints, on the other hand, have a proven QB and a very diversified offense. The New Orleans defense is not the greatest, but their bend but don’t break philosophy should get it done v. the error prone Grossman. Ride the “Karma Train”, take the Saints. Choo-Choo!

 

WINNER

·        5* New Orleans v CHICAGO --- OVER The Total --- Check the Chicago Weather!

 

WINNER

·        5 * New England v INDY --- The Pats made out like bandits last week, stealing one in San Diego and high tailing it outta town. They were outplayed, and Brady had 3 interceptions, but somehow the Pats managed to get it done. The Colts were an afterthought in these playoffs, especially with their porous defense. That defense has stepped it up, allowing just 14 points in two games. Indy has defeated the Pats 2 years in a row, in New England. The Pats can be beaten, but they will not beat themselves. Peyton Manning has not been stellar, the last 2 weeks, and it will be on his “shoulder” to finally get the Patriot, and Superbowl, monkey’s off his back. Peyton, there’s only 1 thing to do, Cut That Meat! Cut That Meat! Indy finally does it.

 
Picks Results = 2-1 for +5*
 
The Over/Under's

·        New Orleans v CHICAGO OVER WINNER

·        New England v INDY UNDER Loser

 
O/U Results = 1-1
 
Teasers

  (Teasers MUST include key numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)

 

·        New Orleans +7.5 Loser

·        INDY +3 WINNER

 
Teaser Total = 1-1
 
HD's v Opposite Turf Teams
 
Home Dog Results = 
None

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Potential BPR Plays

    Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check individual game BPR's for any  line movements):

 

·        CHICAGO –5 or less

·        New England +1.5 or greater

NFL CHAMPIONSHIPS

SUNDAY, JANUARY 21, 2007

Potential BPR Plays in Bold

EST

Line

BPR

Play If

Notes (All Trends Against The Spread)

303 New Orleans

       Saints

3:00

43

 

+13

11-6 SU / 10-7 ATS / 6-2 SU R / 7-1 ATS R / 4-2 SU Grass / 5-1 ATS Grass / 5-2 ATS / 9-4 v NFC/ 9-8 O-U/ 4-4 O-U R / 25.9 avg pts for– 20.4 pts against/ Scored 30 or more 6 of 8 R / 3-1 SU, 3-0-1 ATS v Bears / WR Horn, SS Stoutmire ? /

304 Chicago

       Bears

2.5

-9

-5

14-3 SU / 9-8 ATS / 7-2 SU H / 5-4 ATS H / 12-4-1 O-U / 8-1 O-U H / 0-4 ATS / Chicago 20 – SAINTS 17, LY / Allowed 26.4 points last 5 gmes/ 26.7 avg pts for– 16.4 pts against/ Teams off OT W P-offs 2-10 SU/ DE Ogunleye?, WR Brady Doubt

305 New England

       Patriots

8:30

47.5

-2.5

+1.5

14-4 SU / 12-6 ATS / 8-1 SU R / 8-1 ATS R / 6-5 Art / 7-11 O-U / 4-5 O-U R / 10-3 O-U as D / 8-2 SU v Indy, But 0-2 / 24.8 avg pts for- 15.3 pts against/ Short week, B2B R / S Harrison ?

306 Indianapolis

       Colts

3

 

+6.5

14-4 SU / 10-8 ATS / 9-0 SU H /6-3 ATS H / 8-10 O-U / 4-10 O-U H / WR Proehl ? / Indy 27 – PATS 20, Nov 5th / 25.8 avg pts for- 20.8 pts against

 

Championship Trends ----

 

H team is 6-11-1 ATS / Dogs 12-6 and 8-4 ATS since 97 / Last 4 years all Championship games decided by double digits /

 

 
BPR Results
 Winners - CHICAGO
 Losers - New England
No Plays - 
Total - 1-1

Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone Under 21 Years of Age

The Legend

ATS – Against Spread

aft - after

bfr - before

BPR - Ben’s Power Rating

B2B – Back To Back

BOUNCE – Opp. result

D – Dog

Def - defense

DDD – Double Digit Dog

DDF - Double Digit Favorite

DIV - Division

F – Favorite

L - Loss

SAND - Sandwich game

 

H – Home

HD – Home Dog

HF – Home Favorite

HOME TEAM – In Capitals

LW – Last Week

LY – Last Year

N-DIV - Non Division

O/U – Over /Under

OFF – Offense

R – Road

REV – Revenge

SU – Straight Up

V - Versus

W - Win