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Divisional Results

Volume VIII-Week Divisional

January 17, 2007

2006 Results

      

Week

Year to Date

%

Ben's Picks

-21

2-3 45-50-3 47%
Ben's Power Rating (BPR)

1-1

70-57-1

55%

 

Over/Unders

4-0 31-44-3 41%
Teasers 3-1 83-20-1 81%
HD's v Opposite Turf 0-0 19-13 59%

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Ben's Picks

All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise specified.

  • Loser - 5* Indy v BALTIMORE --- The Colts finished the year 0-4 SU, on the road, and that was against Dallas, Tennessee, Jacksonville, and Houston. Manning and company won’t be facing the inept Chiefs here. What’s going to happen when Ray-Ray gets in Peyton’s face? Take the Ravens.

 

  • Loser - 5* --- 2 Team TEASER --- BALTIMORE Even and CHICAGO –2.5

 

  • WINNER - 4* Philly v NEW ORLEANS --- The Eagles are soaring and have the more experienced players and Coach. It should be a high scoring affair, indoors. Philly gets revenge for early loss, take the points.

 

  • Loser - 4* Seattle v CHICAGO --- The Seahawks escaped with a victory, thanks to “Butterfingers” Romo and Bill Parcells ultra conservative game plan. That was at home, now the Birds have to travel with a depleted WR Corps and missing 3 CB’s. The Monsters of the Midway are licking their chops, especially after an early playoff exit last year. Grossman gets it done, lay the lumber.

 

  • WINNER - 3* New England v SAN DIEGO --- The Pats beat the Jets by 21, but the score was not indicative of the game. Marty Schottenheimer has a bad playoff resume and Philip Rivers has none at all. Belichick, Brady and the rest of the Pats have the Pedigree to keep this one close. Take the points.

 

 
Picks Results = 2-3 for -7*
 
The Over/Under's

·        Indy v BALTIMORE UNDER WINNER

·        Philly v NEW ORLEANS OVER WINNER

·        Seattle v CHICAGO OVER WINNER

·        New England v SAN DIEGO UNDER WINNER

 
O/U Results = 4-0
 
Teasers

  (Teasers MUST include key numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)

·        BALTIMORE Even Loser

·        Philly +10 WINNER

·        CHICAGO –3 WINNER

·        New England +10 WINNER

 
Teaser Total = 3-1
 
HD's v Opposite Turf Teams
                            NONE
Home Dog Results = 0-0
 

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Potential BPR Plays

    Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check individual game BPR's for any  line movements):

 

·        BALTIMORE –5 or less

·        Philly +6.5 or greater

·        Seattle v CHICAGO – No Play

·        New England +5 or greater

 

 

 

NFL WEEK DIVISIONAL

SATURDAY, JANUARY 13, 2007

Potential BPR Plays in Bold

EST

Line

BPR

Play If

Notes (All Trends Against The Spread)

101 Indianapolis

       Colts

4:30

41.5

 

+13

13-4 SU / 9-8 ATS/ 4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS R/ 0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS R / 8-9 O-U / 8-2 O-U Grass / Dungy 6-7-1 Playoffs / Bad Special tms / OG Lija, WR Proehl ?

102 Baltimore

       Ravens

4

-9

-5

13-3 SU / 10-6 ATS / 6-9 O-U / 3-4 O-U H / 7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS H / +17 Turnovers / Billick 5-2 Playoffs / 1-3 SU and 0-3 O-U v Indy / 2 OL ?

103 Philadelphia

       Eagles

8:00

49

 

+6.5

11-6 SU / 8-8-1 ATS / 5-3, 3-0 SU R / 4-4 ATS R / 8-7-2 O-U / 2-1 O-U Art / Reid 8-5 ATS P-offs / CB Shepard Out / K Akers only 9 of 13 beyond 30 yards

104 New Orleans

       Saints

5

-2.5

+1.5

10-6 SU + ATS / 4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS H / Saints 27 – PHILLY 24, Oct 15th / #1 Off./ RB, WR, SS, TE, WR Horn ?

 

SUNDAY, JANUARY 14, 2007

105 Seattle

       Seahawks

1:00

36

 

+12.5

10-7 SU / 6-10-1 ATS / 4-4 SU R / 2-6 ATS R / 3-6 ATS / 9-8, 5-3 O-U / 1-8-1 ATS NFC / 2-8-1 ATS R / 19-5 O-U grass / 2-4 grass / Holmgren 10-6 ATS Playoffs / CB Trufant, WR’s Jackson, Hackett ?

106 Chicago

       Bears

9

-8.5

-4.5

13-3 SU / 9-7, 0-3 ATS / 6-2 SU H / 5-3 ATS H / 11-4-1 O-U / 8-1 O-U H / CHICAGO 37 – Seattle 6, Oct 1st / Lovie 0-1 Playoffs

107 New England

       Patriots

4:30

46.5

 

+5

13-4 SU / 11-6 ATS / 7-1 SU, ATS R / 4-0 / 7-10 O-U / 4-4 O-U R / 8-4 RD / 4-11 O-U Playoffs / 10-2 O-U as Dog / Belichick 11-1 SU, 7-4-1 ATS P-offs / S Harrison OUT

108 San Diego

       Chargers

5

-1

+3

14-2 SU / 9-7 ATS / 8-0 SU H / 5-3 ATS H / 10-0 SU / 2-4 / 9-3 O-U / 5-3 O-U H / 2-1 SU, ATS v Pats /Schottenheimer 4-12 ATS Playoffs

 
BPR Results
 Winners - New England
 Losers - BALTIMORE
No Plays - Philly
Total - 

Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone Under 21 Years of Age

The Legend

ATS – Against Spread

aft - after

bfr - before

BPR - Ben’s Power Rating

B2B – Back To Back

BOUNCE – Opp. result

D – Dog

Def - defense

DDD – Double Digit Dog

DDF - Double Digit Favorite

DIV - Division

F – Favorite

L - Loss

SAND - Sandwich game

 

H – Home

HD – Home Dog

HF – Home Favorite

HOME TEAM – In Capitals

LW – Last Week

LY – Last Year

N-DIV - Non Division

O/U – Over /Under

OFF – Offense

R – Road

REV – Revenge

SU – Straight Up

V - Versus

W - Win