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Wildcard Results

Volume VIII-Week Wildcard Results

January 10, 2007

2006 Results

      

Week

Year to Date

%

Ben's Picks

-14

2-5 43-47-3 48%
Ben's Power Rating (BPR)

0-1

69-56-1

55%

 

Over/Unders

1-3 27-44-3 38%
Teasers 2-2 80-19-1 81%
HD's v Opposite Turf 0-0 19-13 59%

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Ben's Picks

All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise specified.

  • Loser - 5* Kansas City v INDY --- The Chiefs will play “Keep Away” and pound the ball with RB Larry Johnson. The Colts are too small to do anything about it. Lamar Hunt’s Spirit says, “Take the 7”.

 

  • Loser - 5* Jets v NEW ENGLAND --- The Jets, and Belichick disciple Eric Mangini, have gone toe to toe with the exalted Pats and split the season series, winning at N.E.. In the past, while the Pats were winning Superbowls, New England was usually a Dog or a small favorite. Belichick and Co. would  win the games, but not by large margins. Mangini is in Belichick’s head, take the generous spot.

 

  • Loser - 5* --- 2 Team TEASER --- Jets +14.5 and PHILLY –2.5

 

  • WINNER - 4* Dallas v SEATTLE --- The Cowboy defense can’t stop anyone. The Seahawks defense had 2 major injuries to their secondary, last week, and had to sign a guy off the street to play in their dime package. Two potent offenses v two bad defenses. Last team with the ball wins. Dallas survives.

 

  • Loser - 4* Giants v PHILLY --- The Giants are a dysfunctional team that struggled to the finish. The Eagles rebounded from the loss of their leader and got stronger. Philly has the better Coach, better QB, more playoff experience and was hotter down the stretch. Don’t let the door hit you on the way out Tiki.

 

  • WINNER - 3* Kansas City v INDY --- UNDER The TOTAL --- Every Larry Johnson run is money in the bank.

 

  • Loser - 3* Dallas v SEATTLE --- OVER The TOTAL --- Check the weather, especially the wind.
 
Picks Results = 2-5 for -15*
 
The Over/Under's

·        Kansas City v INDY UNDER WINNER

·        Dallas v SEATTLE OVERCheck Weather Loser

·        Jets v NEW ENGLAND UNDER Loser

·        Giants v PHILLY OVER Loser

 
O/U Results = 1-3
 
Teasers

  (Teasers MUST include key numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)

·        Kansas City +13 Loser

·        Dallas +8 WINNER

·        Jets +14 Loser

·        PHILLY -3 WINNER

 
Teaser Total = 2-2
 
HD's v Opposite Turf Teams
  • NONE
Home Dog Results = 0-0
 

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Potential BPR Plays

    Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check individual game BPR's for any  line movements):

 

·        Kansas City +6.5 or greater

·        Dallas v SEATTLE No Play (Unless line changes drastically)

·        Jets +10.5 or greater

·        Giants +7.5 or greater

 

 

 

NFL WEEK WILDCARD

SATURDAY, JANUARY 6, 2007

Potential BPR Plays in Bold

EST

Line

BPR

Play If

Notes (All Trends Against The Spread)

477 Kansas City Chiefs

4:30

50.5

 

+6.5

9-7 SU / 8-8 ATS / 3-5 SU + ATS R /

7-8-1 O-U / 2-6 O-U / 3-4-1 O-U R /

Allowed 41 Sacks / Off # 3 Red Zone /

Edwards 2-3 ATS P-offs / CB Sapp ? /

478 Indy Colts

7

-2.5

+1.5

12-4 SU / 8-8 ATS /8-0 SU, 4-3-1 ATS H/

8-8 O-U / 3-7 Playoffs / # 32 Rush Def /

Small Front 7 / Only 15 Sacks against /

Dungy 5-7-1 Playoffs / S Sanders, OG,

WR Wayne, Proehl, TE Clark, LB, CB?

479 Dallas Cowboys

8:00

46.5

 

+6.5

9-7 SU / 8-7-1 ATS / 5-3 SU, 4-3-1 R /

1-3 SU / 5-1-2 O-U R/ DT, LB ? /

Parcells 10-5-2 Playoffs /

480 Seattle Seahawks

3

-2.5

+1.5

9-7 SU / 6-9-1 ATS / 4-3-1 H /

0-2 SU H/ SEAT. 13 – Dallas 10 LY /

9-7 O-U / 4-3-1 O-U H / 2 OL ? /

Major SECONDARY Injuries /

Holmgren 10-5-5 Playoffs /

 

SUNDAY, JANUARY 7, 2007

483 New York Jets

1:00

37.5

 

+10.5

10-6 SU / 11-5 ATS / 6-2 R / 9-7 O-U /

Jets 17 – N.E. 14, Nov 12 /

NT Robertson, OG Moore, C Mangold,

CB Dyson all Questionable /

484 New England Pats

8.5

-6.5

-2.5

12-4 SU / 9-6-1 ATS / 2-5-1 H /

6-10 O-U / 10-1 SU, 6-4-1 ATS P-offs/

1-9 O-U H Playoffs / S Harrison OUT /

Many injuries listed, smokescreen for who’s really hurt /

485 New York Giants

4:30

45.5

 

+7.5

8-8 SU / 7-8-1 ATS / 2-6 SU / 2-6-1 ATS /

Giants 30 – PHILLY 24, Sept 10 in OT /

8-6-2 O-U / 6-1-1 O-U R/ 4-0 O-U v Philly/

Coughlin 4-5 Playoffs / DE Strahan OUT,

DB Webster OUT, TE Shockey ? /

486 Philly Eagles

7

-3.5

+1

10-6 SU / 8-8 ATS / 5-0 SU / 4-4 ATS H /

Philly 32 – GIANTS 22, Dec 17 /

8-6-2 O-U / 3-4-1 O-U H /

Reid 8-4 Playoffs / SS Lewis, CB James ?

 
BPR Results
 Winners - None
 Losers - Kansas City
No Plays - Jets, Giants
Total - 

Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone Under 21 Years of Age

The Legend

ATS – Against Spread

aft - after

bfr - before

BPR - Ben’s Power Rating

B2B – Back To Back

BOUNCE – Opp. result

D – Dog

Def - defense

DDD – Double Digit Dog

DDF - Double Digit Favorite

DIV - Division

F – Favorite

L - Loss

SAND - Sandwich game

 

H – Home

HD – Home Dog

HF – Home Favorite

HOME TEAM – In Capitals

LW – Last Week

LY – Last Year

N-DIV - Non Division

O/U – Over /Under

OFF – Offense

R – Road

REV – Revenge

SU – Straight Up

V - Versus

W - Win