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Divisional Week Results

Volume IX-Week Divisional

January 17, 2008

2007 Results

      

Week

Year to Date

%

Ben's Picks

-39

3-2 43-51-2 47%
Ben's Power Rating (BPR)

2-1

63-60-1

51%

Teasers 1-0 50-38-2 57%

Over/Unders

1-1 36-39-1 48%
HD's v Opposite Turf 0-0 22-24 48%

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Ben's Picks

All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise specified.

  • WINNER - 5* Seattle v GREEN BAY --- BET ON THE LINE MOVE --- The line is presently Green Bay -8 just about everywhere. If the line moves to 7.5 or less, take Seattle. If the line moves to 8.5 or greater, take the Packers. Why? Because old buddies Brett Favre and Mike Holmgren are facing off and I don’t trust those guys. In other words, FOLLOW THE MONEY!

The previous one was a little touchy, the site I use for closing lines had G.B. -9, but some others had G.B. -7.5.

 

  • Loser - 3* Jax v NEW ENGLAND --- The Jags were tooth and nail to beat the Steelers on the road last week. They now face the 16-0 Pats with some question marks on defense. Not a good situation to be in, the Pats will make them pay. Pats big.

 

  • WINNER - 5* Jax v NEW ENGLAND --- OVER The Total --- The Pats will score often against the Jags depleted defense and Jax will have to keep up. Check the weather!

 

  • Loser - 5* San Diego v INDY --- The Colts have been waiting for this one since they lost to the Chargers, 23-21, on Nov. 11th. On that day, the Colts allowed 2 runbacks on kicks, gave up 6 turnovers and the game still came down to a missed Viniteri field goal. The Chargers have a very fragile psyche and may be missing one of their big guns, TE Antonio Gates. Revenge is sweet.

 

  • WINNER - 3* Giants v DALLAS --- The Cowboys are not the same team without Terrell Owens and even if he plays, he won’t be at full strength. Manning plays better on the road. The 3rd time is a charm, G-Men keep it close.
 
Pick Results = 3-2 for +5*
 
Teasers

  (Teasers MUST include key numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)

·        Jax v NEW ENG. OVER 44 - Check the weather! WINNER

·        INDY -3 No Play

 
Teaser Results = 1-0
 
The Over/Under's

 

·        Seattle v GREEN BAY OVER WINNER

  • San Diego v INDY UNDER Loser
 
O/U Results = 1-1
 
HD's v Opposite Turf Teams
  • None
Home Dog Results = 0-0
 

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Potential BPR Plays

    Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check individual game BPR's for any  line movements):

 

 

 

 

·        Seattle +5.5 or greater

·        Jax +9.5 or greater

·        San Diego +5.5 or greater

·        Giants +10 or greater

 

 

 

NFL WEEK Divisional

SATURDAY, JANUARY 12, 2008

Potential BPR Plays in Bold

EST

Line

BPR

Play If

Notes

101 Seattle

        Seahawks

4:30

42.5

 

+5.5

 

102 Green Bay

        Packers

8

-1.5

+2.5

 

103 Jacksonville

        Jaguars

8:00

50.5

 

+9.5

 

104 New England

        Patriots

13.5

-5.5

-1.5

 

 

SUNDAY, JANUARY 13, 2008

107 San Diego

        Chargers

1:00

45.5

 

+5.5

 

108 Indianapolis

        Colts

9

-1.5

+2.5

 

109 New York

        Giants

4:30

46.5

 

+10

 

110 Dallas

        Cowboys

7.5

-6

-2

 

 
BPR Results
 Winners - Jax, San Diego
 Losers - Seattle
No Plays - Giants
BPR Results - 2-1
 

Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone Under 21 Years of Age

The Legend

ATS – Against Spread

aft - after

bfr - before

BPR - Ben’s Power Rating

B2B – Back To Back

BOUNCE – Opp. result

D – Dog

Def - defense

DDD – Double Digit Dog

DDF - Double Digit Favorite

DIV - Division

F – Favorite

L - Loss

SAND - Sandwich game

 

H – Home

HD – Home Dog

HF – Home Favorite

HOME TEAM – In Capitals

LW – Last Week

LY – Last Year

N-DIV - Non Division

O/U – Over /Under

OFF – Offense

R – Road

REV – Revenge

SU – Straight Up

V - Versus

W - Win