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Week 1 Results

 

Volume VIII, Week 1 Results

September 12, 2006

2006 Results

      

Week

Year to Date

%

Ben's Picks

+12

4-1 4-1 80%
Ben's Power Rating (BPR)

4-2

4-2

67%

 

Over/Unders

4-0 4-0 100%
Teasers 6-2 6-2 75%
HD's v Opposite Turf 1-0 1-0 100%

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Ben's Picks

All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise specified.

 Loser - 5 Denver v ST. LOUIS --- New Rams versus old Broncos.

 

Winner - 5 Philly v HOUSTON --- Eagles experienced and have something to prove, Titans in a new system.

 

Winner - 5 San Diego v OAKLAND --- Chargers still a power with QB Rivers, Raiders a “Shell”.

 

Winner - 4 Chicago v GREEN BAY --- Bears “Monsters” on defense, Packers paddling up shit creek even with Favre.

 

Winner - 3 Baltimore v Tampa --- Ravens will be a force with QB McNair, Bucs not as good.

 

Picks Total = 4-1 for +12*
 
The O/U's

 

Winner - Denver v ST. LOUIS UNDER

Winner - Philly v HOUSTON UNDER

Winner - San Fran v ARIZONA OVER

Winner - San Diego v OAKLAND UNDER

 

O/U Total = 4-0

 
 
Teasers

  (Teasers MUST include key numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 14, etc.)

No Play - PITTSBURGH +7

Loser - Denver pk

Winner - Buffalo +14

Winner - Baltimore +7

Loser - CAROLINA –2

Winner - Philly pk

Winner - JAX +3

Winner - Chicago pk

Winner - San Diego Pk

 

Teaser Total = 6-2

 
 
HD's v Opposite Turf Teams

 

Winner - ST. LOUIS

 

HD Total = 1-0

 
   

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Potential BPR Plays

    Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check individual game BPR's for any  line movements):

4 Winners - PITTSBURGH, Buffalo, Jax, San Fran
2 Losers - HOUSTON, CLEVELAND

NFL WEEK #1

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 7, 2006

Potential BPR Plays in Bold

EST

Line

BPR

Play If

Notes

101 Miami Dolphins

E: 8:30

34.5

 

+12

QB Culpepper starts, unknown?

102 Pittsburgh Steelers

pk

-8

-4

Big Ben out, Charlie Batch Starts

 

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 10, 2006

203 Denver Broncos

E: 1:00

3.5

-4

pk

Same old Broncos, should get out of gate

204 St. Louis Rams

46

 

+8

New coach / wait and see

205 New York Jets

E: 1:00

36

 

+4.5

New coach / wait and see

206 Tennessee Titans

2.5

+3.5

QB ? Volek, Young, or Collins ?

207 Buffalo Bills

E: 1:00

41

 

+8

New Coach / wait and see

208 New England Patriots

9

-4

pk

WR Branch holdout / will be ready

209 Baltimore Ravens

E: 1:00

34

 

+10

New QB, McNair, should steady the ship

210 Tampa Bay Bucs

3

-5

-1

Gruden well prepared

211 Cincy Bengals

E: 1:00

46

 

+6

QB Palmer ready to go

212 Kansas City Chiefs

2.5

-2

+2

New Coach / wait and see

213 Seattle Seahawks

E: 1:00

6

-4.5

Seahawks have something to prove

214 Detroit Lions

45

 

+8.5

New coach / QB Kitna improvement

215 Atlanta Falcons

E: 1:00

40

 

+11.5

Vick still a passing liability

216 Carolina Panthers

6

-7.5

-3.5

Team to beat in the NFC

217 Philly Eagles

E: 1:00

4.5

 

+8

Eagles have something to prove sans T.O.

218 Houston Texans

37

-4

pk

New Coach / Lost RB / Add WR Moulds

219 New Orleans Saints

E: 1:00

35.5

 

+14

New Coach / QB Brees / Have a home

220 Cleveland Browns

3

-10

-6

Lost 2 Centers, O-line ?

221 Dallas Cowboys

E: 4:15

36.5

 

+10.5

T.O. ready to go / O-line still a ?

222 Jacksonville Jags

2.5

-6.5

-2.5

Lost RB and WR / Good defense

223 Chicago Bears

E: 4:15

3.5

-7

-3

QB not good / D great

224 Green Bay Packers

35

 

+11

Favre is an INT waiting to happen

225 San Fran Niners

E: 4:15

42

-2.5

+1.5

Don’t have the horses

226 Arizona Cardinals

7.5

 

+6.5

New RB, will score/Can they stop anyone

227 Indy Colts

E: 8:15

3

+3.5

Lost RB / Gained real K

228 New York Giants

48

 

+4.5

Well coached, not loaded

 

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 11, 2006

229 Minny Vikings

E: 7:00

35

 

+8.5

New Coach, wait and see

230 Washington Redskins

4.5

-4.5

Bad preseason / wait and see

231 San Diego Chargers

E:10:15

3

-2

+2

LB literally shot / Rivers QB

232 Oakland Raiders

43

 

+6

Shell back / may be worst team in league

             

 

Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone Under 21 Years of Age

The Legend

ATS – Against Spread

aft - after

bfr - before

[BPR] - Ben’s Power Rating

B2B – Back To Back

BOUNCE – Opp. result

D – Dog

Def - defense

DDD – Double Digit Dog

DDF - Double Digit Favorite

DIV - Division

F – Favorite

L - Loss

SAND - Sandwich game

 

H – Home

HD – Home Dog

HF – Home Favorite

HOME TEAM – In Capitals

LW – Last Week

LY – Last Year

N-DIV - Non Division

O/U – Over /Under

OFF – Offense

R – Road

REV – Revenge

SU – Straight Up

V - Versus

W - Win