|
Potential
BPR Plays
Remember, compare the BPR [Ben’s Power Rating]
to the spread and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in
your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential
plays for this week, I have already added the 4 points (Check
individual game BPR’s for any line movements):
|
-
N. Orleans
+6.5 or >
-
ST. LOUIS
+1 or >
-
Detroit
+1.5 or >
|
-
BUFFALO
+3.5 or >
- JETS +5.5 or >
-
Baltimore
+5 or >
|
-
CLEVELAND
+3 or >
-
Chicago
+7 or >
|
NFL WEEK 1
|
THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 6, 2007
|
|
Potential BPR Plays in Bold
|
EST
|
Line
|
BPR
|
Play
If
|
Notes
|
|
301
New Orleans
Saints
|
E:
8:30
|
52
|
|
+6.5
|
Saints
still hungry
|
|
302
Indy Colts
|
6
|
-2.5
|
+1.5
|
Colts
defense depleted / Super Bowl hangover?
|
|
|
SUNDAY,
SEPTEMBER 9, 2007
|
|
405
Kansas City
Chiefs
|
E:
1:00
|
38
|
|
+6
|
Bad
QB / Team going backwards
|
|
406
Houston
Texans
|
3
|
-2
|
+2
|
New
QB / Coaches on right track
|
|
407
Denver
Broncos
|
E:
1:00
|
3
|
|
+4.5
|
Defensive
issues / QB still green
|
|
408
Buffalo
Bills
|
37
|
-0.5
|
+3.5
|
Defense
a joke / Offense should improve
|
|
409
Pittsburgh
Steelers
|
E:
1:00
|
4.5
|
|
+5
|
New
coaches on offense / 7-0 v Clev
|
|
410
Cleveland
Browns
|
37
|
-1
|
+3
|
Charlie
Frye starts at QB
|
|
411
Tennessee
Titans
|
E:
1:00
|
37
|
|
+10
|
Many
holes on defense / Limited play makers
|
|
412
Jacksonville
Jags
|
7
|
-6
|
-2
|
Garrard
starts at QB / Defense a force
|
|
413
Carolina
Panthers
|
E:
1:00
|
42
|
|
+7
|
4-0
v Rams / Healthy
|
|
414
St. Louis
Rams
|
1
|
-3
|
+1
|
Offense
very good / Defense very bad
|
|
415
Philly Eagles
|
E:
1:00
|
3
|
-2
|
+2
|
McNabb
back / Should contend
|
|
416
Green Bay
Packers
|
43
|
|
+6
|
Favre
– Then what?
|
|
417
Atlanta
Falcons
|
E:
1:00
|
36
|
|
+6
|
New
Coaches / Harrington starts at QB
|
|
418
Minny Vikings
|
3
|
-2
|
+2
|
No
offense / Decent defense
|
|
419
Miami
Dolphins
|
E:
1:00
|
35
|
|
+8.5
|
QB
Trent Green 1 hit from loony bin
|
|
420
Washington
Redskins
|
3
|
-4.5
|
Pk
|
QB
Campbell still green / Def needs to rebound
|
|
421
New England
Pats
|
E:
1:00
|
6.5
|
-1.5
|
+2.5
|
Now
have capable WR’s / Def missing
Seymour
|
|
422
New York
Jets
|
40.5
|
|
+5.5
|
Caught
all the breaks last year / Prove it
|
|
423
Tampa
Bay
Bucs
|
E:
4:15
|
41
|
|
+11
|
Aging
def / Garcia starts at QB
|
|
424
Seattle
Seahawks
|
6
|
-7
|
-3
|
Should
be ready to roll after inj. plagued season
|
|
425
Chicago
Bears
|
E:
4:15
|
42.5
|
|
+7
|
Good,
but not as strong as last year / QB stinks
|
|
426
San Diego
Chargers
|
6
|
-3
|
+1
|
New
coach, has all the weapons
|
|
427
Detroit
Lions
|
E:
4:15
|
39.5
|
-2.5
|
+1.5
|
Offense
ready to take big step
|
|
428
Oakland
Raiders
|
1.5
|
|
+6.5
|
Culpepper
starts at QB, won’t help / Def strong
|
|
429
New York
Giants
|
E:
8:15
|
44
|
|
+9.5
|
Many
injuries and issues / Ready to implode
|
|
430
Dallas
Cowboys
|
5.5
|
-5.5
|
-1.5
|
Wade
will improve Def / Romo still a ?
|
|
MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 10, 2007
|
|
431
Baltimore
Ravens
|
E:
7:00
|
40.5
|
|
+5
|
Same
ole, same ole
|
|
432
Cincy Bengals
|
3
|
-1
|
+3
|
Explosive
offense / Mediocre defense
|
|
433
Arizona
Cardinals
|
E:10:15
|
45
|
|
+7.5
|
New
coaches / No depth
|
|
434
San Fran Niners
|
3
|
-3.5
|
+1
|
Improved
defense / Ready to compete
|
