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Week 11 Results

 

Volume VIII-Week 11  Results

November 22, 2006

2006 Results

   Ά   

Week

Year to Date

%

Ben's Picks

-4Ά

1-3-1 25-27-3 48%
Ben's Power Rating (BPR)

4-1

42-34-1

55%

 

Over/Unders

0-4 19-24-1 44%
Teasers 7-0 51-10-1 84%
HD's v Opposite Turf 1-1 10-7 59%

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Ben's Picks

All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise specified.

  • TIE - 5* Washington v TAMPA --- Believe it or not, these teams met in the playoffs last year. QB Campbell starts and RB Portis is out for the Skins. Bucs get their revenge.

 

  • Loser - 4* Oakland v KANSAS CITY --- Raiders offense is a joke. QB Green back for Chiefs.

 

  • WINNER - 4* New England v GREEN BAY --- Pats need to get on track after 2 losses. Pack D not up to task.

 

  • Loser - 3* Minny v MIAMI --- Vikes have a great D and will keep it close with the Fish.

 

  • Loser - 3* Chicago v JETS --- Bears won’t take Jets seriously off win v Giants in this stadium.

 

 
Picks Results = 1-3-1 for -6*
 
The Over/Under's

·        Cincy v NEW ORLEANS OVER Loser

·        New England v GREEN BAY OVER Loser

·        Minny v MIAMI UNDER Loser

·        Detroit v ARIZONA OVER Loser

 

 
O/U Results = 0-4
 
Teasers

  (Teasers MUST include key numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)

·        KANSAS CITY –4 WINNER

·        Pittsburgh Even WINNER

·        BALTIMORE Even WINNER

·        CAROLINA –2 WINNER

·        Buffalo +8 WINNER

·        New England –1 WINNER

·        Minny +10 No Play

·        San Diego +8 WINNER

 

 
Teaser Total = 7-0
 
HD's v Opposite Turf Teams
  • JETS Loser
  • SAN FRAN WINNER
 
Home Dog Results = 1-1
 

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Potential BPR Plays

    Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check individual game BPR's for any  line movements):

 

 

 

  • DALLAS +1.5 or greater
  • Tennessee +12.5 or greater
  • Washington +5 or greater
  • SAN FRAN +5 or greater
  • Cincy +6 or greater
  • BALTIMORE –5.5 or less
  • JETS +8 or greater
  • DENVER –3 or less
  • CLEVELAND –2 or less
  • Buffalo +2.5 or greater
  • Minny +4.5 or greater
  • JAX –3.5 or less

 

 

 

NFL WEEK 11

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 19, 2006

Potential BPR Plays in Bold

EST

Line

BPR

Play If

Notes

211 Oakland Raiders

E: 1:00

35.5

 

+13

QB Aaron Brooks ? / 3 OL, 2 LB ?

212 Kansas City Chiefs

9.5

-9

-5

QB Green IN / TE Gonzalez OUT

213 Indy Colts

4:15

1

 

+6.5

Many Injuries on Defense

214 Dallas Cowboys

48.5

-2.5

+1.5

LB Ellis OUT / WR Glenn ?

215 Cincy Bengals

E: 1:00

51

 

+6

Inconsistent / Many injuries / Season slipping

216 New Orleans Saints

3.5

-2

+2

WR Colston tearing it up / 2 TE, WR Horn ?

217 Pittsburgh Steelers

E: 1:00

3.5

 

+10

Cutting down turnovers / Making a run

218 Cleveland Browns

37.5

-6

-2

QB Frye ? / Cluster inj at CB, big trouble

219 Tennessee Titans

E: 1:00

43

 

+12.5

DT Haynesworth back from stomping

220 Philly Eagles

13

-8.5

-4.5

Giving up big rushing yards

221 Atlanta Falcons

E: 1:00

41

 

+13.5

2nd half collapse like last year? / D injs

222 Baltimore Ravens

4.5

-9.5

-5.5

LB Lewis ?

223 St. Louis Rams

E: 1:00

44

 

+9.5

B2B R / LT Pace OUT / Shuffling O-line

224 Carolina Panthers

7

-5.5

-1.5

Back on track / 5-1 v Rams

225 Buffalo Bills

E: 1:00

36

-1.5

+2.5

No red zone offense / OG Villarrial OUT

226 Houston Texans

2.5

 

+5.5

Bounce DOWN after big win in Jax/ Many Inj

227 New England Pats

E: 1:00

6

-5.5

-1.5

Off 2 losses, need a W / Match up with Pack

228 Green Bay Packers

45

 

+9.5

2 OT ? / In tough v Pats

229 Wash. Redskins

E: 1:00

34

 

+5

Portis OUT / QB Campbell Starts / Season over

230 Tampa Bay Bucs

3

-1

+3

Revenge for playoff loss last year

231 Chicago Bears

E: 1:00

7

-4

Pk

B2B in Giants Stadium / Played easy schedule

232 New York Jets

38

 

+8

In the playoff hunt

233 Minny Vikings

E: 1:00

34

 

+4.5

Offense can’t get in gear

234 Miami Dolphins

3.5

+3.5

O-line playing better, but OG Jones OUT

235 Detroit Lions

E: 4:00

45.5

 

+7

Disappointing H loss / 6-0 O/U v Cards

236 Arizona Cardinals

2

-3

+1

0-8 SU / Leinart should have time v Lion D-line

237 Seattle Seahawks

E: 4:00

3

-1

+3

Alexander and Hasselbeck ? / 6-0 SU v Niners

238 San Fran Niners

44.5

 

+5

RB Gore ? /3-0 O/u v Seattle

239 San Diego Chargers

E: 8:15

42

 

+11

B2B R / O-Line clicking / 0-4 O/U v Denver

240 Denver Broncos

2.5

-7

-3

5-1 SU v S.D. / Offense still sluggish

 

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 20, 2006

241 New York Giants

E: 8:30

38.5

 

+11.5

LT Petigout OUT, Shuffling O-line / D injs

242 Jacksonville Jags

3.5

-7.5

-3.5

QB Garrard starts / After H loss / Many injs

 
BPR Results
 Winners - CLEVELAND, Tennessee, BALTIMORE, Buffalo
 Losers - DENVER
No Plays - DALLAS, Cincy, Washington, JETS, Minny, SAN FRAN, JAX
Total - 4-1

Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone Under 21 Years of Age

The Legend

ATS – Against Spread

aft - after

bfr - before

BPR - Ben’s Power Rating

B2B – Back To Back

BOUNCE – Opp. result

D – Dog

Def - defense

DDD – Double Digit Dog

DDF - Double Digit Favorite

DIV - Division

F – Favorite

L - Loss

SAND - Sandwich game

 

H – Home

HD – Home Dog

HF – Home Favorite

HOME TEAM – In Capitals

LW – Last Week

LY – Last Year

N-DIV - Non Division

O/U – Over /Under

OFF – Offense

R – Road

REV – Revenge

SU – Straight Up

V - Versus

W - Win