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Week 11 Results

Volume IX-Week 11

November 21, 2007

2007 Results

      

Week

Year to Date

%

Ben's Picks

-20

3-2 25-28-2 47%
Ben's Power Rating (BPR)

3-4

35-41-1

46%

Teasers 4-2 34-23-2 60%

Over/Unders

2-2 24-19-1 56%
HD's v Opposite Turf 0-2 13-15 46%

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Ben's Picks

All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise specified.

  • WINNER - 5* St. Louis v SAN FRAN --- Niners have only 2 wins, with 1 over Rams they didn’t deserve. The Rams off 1st W make it 2 with revenge.

 

  • Loser - 5* Tennessee v DENVER --- The Titans will run the ball and bust the Broncos.

 

  • Loser - 4* Cleveland v BALTIMORE --- Hold your nose to play this one, but it’s the right thing to do.

 

  • WINNER - 4* Pittsburgh v JETS --- Steelers in a 747 sandwich and Flyboys are off a bye.

 

  • WINNER - 3* Kansas City v INDY --- Chiefs stink, but Colts hurting and Coach Dungy won’t embarrass his brother from another mother, Coach Edwards.
 
Pick Results = 3-2 for +3*
 
Teasers

  (Teasers MUST include key numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)

·        Kansas City +21 No Play

·        MINNY -2 WINNER

·        BALTIMORE +7 WINNER

·        JETS +14 WINNER

·        BUFFALO +21 Loser

·        Washington +17 WINNER

·        GREEN BAY -3 No Play

·        Tennessee +7 Loser

 
Teaser Results = 4-2
 
The Over/Under's

·        K.C. v INDY UNDER WINNER

·        Arizona v CINCY OVER WINNER

·        New England v BUFFALO UNDER Loser

·        New Orleans v HOUSTON OVER Loser

 
O/U Results = 2-2
 
HD's v Opposite Turf Teams
  • ATLANTA Loser
  • HOUSTON if Dog No Play
  • SAN FRAN Loser
 
Home Dog Results = 0-2
 

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Potential BPR Plays

    Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check individual game BPR's for any  line movements):

 
  • San Diego +5 or greater
  • ATLANTA +4.5 or greater
  • Washington +10 or greater
  • SAN FRAN -2.5 or less
  • K. C. +12.5 or greater
  • Miami +11 or greater
  • HOUSTON +1.5 or greater
  • JETS +6 or greater
  • BUFFALO +4.5 or greater
  • DETROIT +1 or greater

NFL WEEK 11

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 18, 2007

Potential BPR Plays in Bold

EST

Line

BPR

Play If

Notes

403 San Diego Chargers

1:00

40.5

 

+5

Something is wrong with this team.

404 Jacksonville Jags

3

-1

+3

QB Garrard should start / H after 3 on R

405 Kansas City Chiefs

1:00

43.5

 

+12.5

RB Johnson OUT, QB Croyle starts.

406 Indy Colts

14.5

-8.5

-5.5

Many Injs, Freeny OUT/ Edwards + Dungy bros

407 Oakland Raiders

1:00

35.5

 

+8

QB Culpepper Starts - Revenge

408 Minny Vikings

5

-4

Pk

RB Peterson OUT, QB ? /

409 Cleveland Browns

1:00

3

-4

Pk

Can throw the ball / B2B R games

410 Baltimore Ravens

43.5

 

+8

1-9 ATS / Revenge / QB Boller starts / 2 CB ?

411 Pittsburgh Steelers

4:00

9.5

-2

+2

Have superior talent v Jets / Sandwich game

412 New York Jets

40.5

 

+6

After Bye / QB Clemens in trouble v Biltzburgh

413 Tampa Bay Bucs

1:00

3

+3.5

After Bye / Playing well

414 Atlanta Falcons

36

 

+4.5

QB Leftwich ? /5-1 ATS /

415 Arizona Cardinals

1:00

48

 

+7.5

Playing tough, if Warner hangs on to ball

416 Cincy Bengals

3

-3.5

+1

Hard team to read

417 Miami Dolphins

1:00

40.5

 

+11

QB Lemon Out, Beck In / Zach Thomas ?

418 Philly Eagles

10

-7

-3

These ain’t your Daddy’s Eagles, these Eagles are Daddys

419 New England Pats

8:15

16

+3.5

After Bye / These are your Daddy’s Pats, better

420 Buffalo Bills

46.5

 

+4.5

14-4 ATS / Will miss RB Lynch

421 Wash. Redskins

4:15

47

 

+10

Injuries in secondary, Not Good v Boys

422 Dallas Cowboys

10.5

-6

-2

B2B2B Div games / Offense clicking

423 New Orleans Saints

1:00

48

 

+6.5

Offense back up to speed

424 Houston Texans

Pk

-2.5

+1.5

After bye / Injury problem at DB

425 Carolina Panthers

1:00

37.5

 

+13

Who’s QB ?, but they all stink

426 Green Bay Packers

9.5

-9

-5

Pack is clicking, now they can run the ball too.

427 New York Giants

1:00

3

 

+7.5

D-line will get after it, but secondary stinks

428 Detroit Lions

49

-3.5

+1

O-Line in trouble v G-Men

429 St. Louis Rams

4:15

3

 

+10.5

B2B R games / O-Line still hurting big-time

430 San Fran Niners

40

-6.5

-2.5

Niners Offense only has one gear - STOP

431 Chicago Bears

4:15

38

 

+11

QB Grossman /

432 Seattle Seahawks

5.5

-7

-3

After Mon / B2B Home / REVENGE

 

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 19, 2007

433 Tennessee Titans

8:30

38

-5

-1

DT Haynesworth ? / Better team

434 Denver Broncos

2

 

+9

1-12 ATS Home / Can’t stop the run

 
BPR Results
 Winners - Kansas City, JETS, Washington
 Losers - BUFFALO, DETROIT, SAN FRAN, Tennessee
No Plays - San Diego, ATLANTA, Miami, HOUSTON
BPR Results - 3-4
 

Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone Under 21 Years of Age

The Legend

ATS – Against Spread

aft - after

bfr - before

BPR - Ben’s Power Rating

B2B – Back To Back

BOUNCE – Opp. result

D – Dog

Def - defense

DDD – Double Digit Dog

DDF - Double Digit Favorite

DIV - Division

F – Favorite

L - Loss

SAND - Sandwich game

 

H – Home

HD – Home Dog

HF – Home Favorite

HOME TEAM – In Capitals

LW – Last Week

LY – Last Year

N-DIV - Non Division

O/U – Over /Under

OFF – Offense

R – Road

REV – Revenge

SU – Straight Up

V - Versus

W - Win