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Week 13 Results

 

Volume VIII-Week 13  Results

November 30, 2006

2006 Results

      

Week

Year to Date

%

Ben's Picks

-18

3-3 29-34-3 46%
Ben's Power Rating (BPR)

7-1

54-40-1

58%

 

Over/Unders

0-4 19-32-1 37%
Teasers 3-1 59-14-1 81%
HD's v Opposite Turf 2-1 14-10 58%

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Ben's Picks

All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise specified.

 

  • Loser - THURSDAY - 4* Baltimore v CINCY --- Ravens better team and getting points. Bad weather helps.

 

  • Loser - 5* Seattle v DENVER --- Hawks off Monday Night snow job, Broncos home and need W bad.

 

  • WINNER - 4* Indy v TENNESSEE --- Titans putting it together, Colts can’t stop the run

 

  • Loser - 4* San Fran v NEW ORLEANS --- Niners getting stronger on defense, Saints overrated.

 

  • WINNER - 4* San Diego v BUFFALO --- Chargers in a big, cold, snowy, sandwich, Bills feeling their oats.

 

  • WINNER - 4* Dallas v GIANTS --- Everyone and their brother is on Cowboys, G-Men do or die.
 
Picks Results = 3-3 for -1*
 
The Over/Under's

·        Minny v CHICAGO UNDER Loser

·        Kansas City v CLEVELAND UNDER Loser

·        Seattle v DENVER UNDER Loser

·         Carolina v PHILLY UNDER Loser

 
O/U Results = 0-4
 
Teasers

  (Teasers MUST include key numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)

·        Minny +14 WINNER

·        TENNESSEE +11 WINNER

·        Jax +7 WINNER

·        San Fran +11 Loser

·        CLEVELAND +11 No Play

·        GREEN BAY +7 No Play

·        GIANTS +10 No Play

·        Houston +10 No Play

·         PHILLY +10 No Play

 
Teaser Total = 3-1
 
HD's v Opposite Turf Teams
  • TENNESSEE WINNER
  • WASHINGTON if Dog Loser
  • BUFFALO WINNER
  • GREEN BAY if Dog No Play
 
Home Dog Results = 2-1
 

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Potential BPR Plays

    Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check individual game BPR's for any  line movements):

 

  • Baltimore +3.5 or greater
  • Arizona +8 or greater
  • WASH. Pk or +
  • GIANTS +3 or greater

 

  • CHICAGO –10 or less
  • TENN. +1 or greater
  • CLEV. +3 or greater
  • DENVER -2.5 or less
  • Tampa +9 or greater
  • Jax +1 or greater
  • BUFFALO +3 or greater
  • PHILLY +1.5 or greater

NFL WEEK 13

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 30, 2006

Potential BPR Plays in Bold

EST

Line

BPR

Play If

Notes

101 Baltimore Ravens

E: 8:00

42.5

+3.5

Can clinch Division / On a Roll

102 Cincy Bengals

3

 

+4.5

C Berk, OT Out, not good facing Ravens

 

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 3, 2006

137 Minny Vikings

E: 1:00

36

 

+18

REVENGE / 3-8 O-U v Bears / O needs help

138 Chicago Bears

9.5

-14

-10

Can clinch Division / QB bad under pressure

139 Tampa Bay Bucs

4:15

41

 

+9

After Thur game / B2B R

140 Pittsburgh Steelers

8

-5

-1

S Polamanu, WR Ward, OUT/ Allowed 36 sacks

141 Arizona Cardinals

E: 1:00

46.5

 

+8

B2B R / Can’t run the ball

142 St. Louis Rams

6.5

-4

Pk

O-line bad / Need to put 2 W’s together

143 Indy Colts

E: 1:00

-7.5

 

+7

D inj / Need to reestablish dominance

144 Tennessee Titans

48

-3

+1

REVENGE / Run ball v bad Def/ 2 DE ?

145 Jacksonville Jags

4:00

36

-3

+1

B2B R / Only 1-4 R / 2 CB ?

146 Miami Dolphins

2

 

+7

After Thur game / RB Brown, OUT / 3 CB ?

147 San Fran Niners

E: 1:00

45

 

+9.5

B2B R / Def is stepping up

148 New Orleans Saints

7

-5.5

-1.5

4-1 O-U v Niners / 3 CB, LB, WR ?

149 Atlanta Falcons

E: 1:00

38

 

+8

0-4 SU / 2 CB OUT / Need W badly

150 Wash. Redskins

1.5

-4

Pk

New QB, Campbell, playing OK

151 Kansas City Chiefs

E: 1:00

5

 

+5

After Thur game / DT, OT ?

152 Cleveland Browns

36

-1

+3

OT Tucker OUT / Secondary in bad shape

153 Detroit Lions

E: 1:00

41.5

 

+17

After Thur game / RB Jones back / Many Inj

154 New England Pats

13.5

-13

-10

LB Seau OUT / Laying bid wood ?

155 San Diego Chargers

E: 1:00

6

 

+5

LB Merriman back/ Many Inj / In Big Sandwich

156 Buffalo Bills

43

-1

+3

Won 3 of 4 SU / WR Reed, RB Thomas ?

157 New York Jets

E: 1:00

1.5

-2.5

+1.5

Always lose stats battle

158 Green Bay Packers

42

 

+6.5

After Mon / Favre and interception machine

159 Dallas Cowboys

4:15

4

 

+5

After Thur / REV / Clicking / Vanderjagt cut

160 New York Giants

43.5

-1

+3

5-1 SU v Dallas / Need to Bounce back / D inj

161 Houston Texans

4:00

36.5

 

+6

B2B R / Bad Red Zone Offense / Inj

162 Oakland Raiders

3

-2

+2

6-1 ATS / Change O-Coord. / 3 OL ?

163 Seattle Seahawks

E: 8:15

40

 

+10.5

After Mon / QB Hasselbeck ?

164 Denver Broncos

3

-6.5

-2.5

After Thur / QB Cutler 1st start/ RB T. Bell back

 

MONDAY, DECEMBER 4, 2006

165 Carolina Panthers

E: 8:30

3

 

+6.5

B2B R / RB Foster ?

166 Philly Eagles

37.5

-2.5

+1.5

Allowed 800 yards rushing last 4 / 2 LB, CB ?

 
BPR Results
 Winners - CHICAGO, TENNESSEE, Jax, CLEVELAND, BUFFALO, GIANTS, PHILLY
 Losers - WASHINGTON
No Plays - Baltimore, Tampa, Arizona, Denver
Total - 7-1

Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone Under 21 Years of Age

The Legend

ATS – Against Spread

aft - after

bfr - before

BPR - Ben’s Power Rating

B2B – Back To Back

BOUNCE – Opp. result

D – Dog

Def - defense

DDD – Double Digit Dog

DDF - Double Digit Favorite

DIV - Division

F – Favorite

L - Loss

SAND - Sandwich game

 

H – Home

HD – Home Dog

HF – Home Favorite

HOME TEAM – In Capitals

LW – Last Week

LY – Last Year

N-DIV - Non Division

O/U – Over /Under

OFF – Offense

R – Road

REV – Revenge

SU – Straight Up

V - Versus

W - Win