|
Week 13 Results
|
| Volume
VIII-Week 13 Results
|
November 30, 2006
|
|
2006 Results
|
¶
|
Week
|
Year to Date
|
%
|
| Ben's Picks |
-18¶
|
3-3 |
29-34-3 |
46% |
| Ben's
Power Rating (BPR) |
7-1
|
54-40-1 |
58%
|
|
Over/Unders
|
0-4 |
19-32-1 |
37% |
| Teasers |
3-1 |
59-14-1 |
81% |
| HD's v
Opposite Turf |
2-1 |
14-10 |
58% |
|
|
Closing
Lines and Final Scores |
|
|
|
Ben's
Picks
All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless
otherwise specified.
|
|
- Loser
- THURSDAY
- 4* Baltimore v CINCY --- Ravens better team
and getting points. Bad weather helps.
- Loser
- 5* Seattle v DENVER --- Hawks off
Monday Night snow job, Broncos home and need W bad.
- WINNER
- 4* Indy v TENNESSEE --- Titans putting
it together, Colts can’t stop the run
- Loser
- 4* San Fran v NEW ORLEANS --- Niners
getting stronger on defense, Saints overrated.
- WINNER
- 4* San Diego v BUFFALO --- Chargers in
a big, cold, snowy, sandwich, Bills feeling their oats.
- WINNER
- 4* Dallas v GIANTS --- Everyone and
their brother is on Cowboys, G-Men do or die.
|
|
|
Picks Results = 3-3
for -1* |
|
|
|
The Over/Under's
|
|
·
Minny v CHICAGO UNDER
Loser
·
Kansas City v
CLEVELAND UNDER Loser
·
Seattle v DENVER UNDER
Loser
·
Carolina v PHILLY UNDER
Loser
|
|
|
O/U Results = 0-4 |
|
|
|
Teasers
(Teasers MUST include key
numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)
|
|
·
Minny
+14 WINNER
·
TENNESSEE
+11 WINNER
·
Jax
+7 WINNER
·
San
Fran +11 Loser
·
CLEVELAND
+11 No Play
·
GREEN
BAY +7 No Play
·
GIANTS
+10 No Play
·
Houston
+10 No Play
·
PHILLY
+10 No
Play
|
|
|
Teaser Total = 3-1 |
|
|
|
HD's v Opposite Turf
Teams
|
- TENNESSEE
WINNER
- WASHINGTON
if Dog Loser
- BUFFALO
WINNER
- GREEN
BAY if Dog No Play
|
|
|
Home Dog Results = 2-1 |
|
|
|
Closing
Lines and Final Scores |
|
|
|
Potential BPR Plays
Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power
Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of
4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are
the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check
individual game BPR's for any line movements):
|
|
|
- Baltimore +3.5 or greater
- Arizona +8 or greater
- WASH. Pk or +
- GIANTS +3 or greater
|
- CHICAGO –10 or less
- TENN. +1 or greater
- CLEV. +3 or greater
- DENVER -2.5 or less
|
- Tampa +9 or greater
- Jax +1 or greater
- BUFFALO +3 or greater
- PHILLY +1.5 or greater
|
NFL WEEK 13
|
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 30, 2006
|
|
Potential BPR Plays in Bold
|
EST
|
Line
|
BPR
|
Play
If
|
Notes
|
|
101
Baltimore Ravens
|
E:
8:00
|
42.5
|
-½
|
+3.5
|
Can
clinch Division / On a Roll
|
|
102
Cincy Bengals
|
3
|
|
+4.5
|
C
Berk, OT Out, not good facing Ravens
|
|
|
SUNDAY,
DECEMBER 3, 2006
|
|
137
Minny Vikings
|
E:
1:00
|
36
|
|
+18
|
REVENGE
/ 3-8 O-U v Bears / O needs help
|
|
138
Chicago Bears
|
9.5
|
-14
|
-10
|
Can
clinch Division / QB bad under pressure
|
|
139
Tampa Bay Bucs
|
4:15
|
41
|
|
+9
|
After
Thur game / B2B R
|
|
140
Pittsburgh Steelers
|
8
|
-5
|
-1
|
S
Polamanu, WR Ward, OUT/ Allowed 36 sacks
|
|
141
Arizona Cardinals
|
E:
1:00
|
46.5
|
|
+8
|
B2B
R / Can’t run the ball
|
|
142
St. Louis Rams
|
6.5
|
-4
|
Pk
|
O-line
bad / Need to put 2 W’s together
|
|
143
Indy Colts
|
E:
1:00
|
-7.5
|
|
+7
|
D
inj / Need to reestablish dominance
|
|
144
Tennessee Titans
|
48
|
-3
|
+1
|
REVENGE
/ Run ball v bad Def/ 2 DE ?
|
|
145
Jacksonville Jags
|
4:00
|
36
|
-3
|
+1
|
B2B
R / Only 1-4 R / 2 CB ?
|
|
146
Miami Dolphins
|
2
|
|
+7
|
After
Thur game / RB Brown, OUT / 3 CB ?
|
|
147
San Fran Niners
|
E:
1:00
|
45
|
|
+9.5
|
B2B
R / Def is stepping up
|
|
148
New Orleans Saints
|
7
|
-5.5
|
-1.5
|
4-1
O-U v Niners / 3 CB, LB, WR ?
|
|
149
Atlanta Falcons
|
E:
1:00
|
38
|
|
+8
|
0-4
SU / 2 CB OUT / Need W badly
|
|
150
Wash. Redskins
|
1.5
|
-4
|
Pk
|
New
QB, Campbell, playing OK
|
|
151
Kansas City Chiefs
|
E:
1:00
|
5
|
|
+5
|
After
Thur game / DT, OT ?
|
|
152
Cleveland Browns
|
36
|
-1
|
+3
|
OT
Tucker OUT / Secondary in bad shape
|
|
153
Detroit Lions
|
E:
1:00
|
41.5
|
|
+17
|
After
Thur game / RB Jones back / Many Inj
|
|
154
New England Pats
|
13.5
|
-13
|
-10
|
LB
Seau OUT / Laying bid wood ?
|
|
155
San Diego Chargers
|
E:
1:00
|
6
|
|
+5
|
LB
Merriman back/ Many Inj / In Big Sandwich
|
|
156
Buffalo Bills
|
43
|
-1
|
+3
|
Won
3 of 4 SU / WR Reed, RB Thomas ?
|
|
157
New York Jets
|
E:
1:00
|
1.5
|
-2.5
|
+1.5
|
Always
lose stats battle
|
|
158
Green Bay Packers
|
42
|
|
+6.5
|
After
Mon / Favre and interception machine
|
|
159
Dallas Cowboys
|
4:15
|
4
|
|
+5
|
After
Thur / REV / Clicking / Vanderjagt cut
|
|
160
New York Giants
|
43.5
|
-1
|
+3
|
5-1
SU v Dallas / Need to Bounce back / D inj
|
|
161
Houston Texans
|
4:00
|
36.5
|
|
+6
|
B2B
R / Bad Red Zone Offense / Inj
|
|
162
Oakland Raiders
|
3
|
-2
|
+2
|
6-1
ATS / Change O-Coord. / 3 OL ?
|
|
163
Seattle Seahawks
|
E:
8:15
|
40
|
|
+10.5
|
After
Mon / QB Hasselbeck ?
|
|
164
Denver Broncos
|
3
|
-6.5
|
-2.5
|
After
Thur / QB Cutler 1st start/ RB T. Bell back
|
|
MONDAY, DECEMBER 4, 2006
|
|
165
Carolina Panthers
|
E:
8:30
|
3
|
|
+6.5
|
B2B
R / RB Foster ?
|
|
166
Philly Eagles
|
37.5
|
-2.5
|
+1.5
|
Allowed
800 yards rushing last 4 / 2 LB, CB ?
|
|
|
BPR Results
|
|
Winners - CHICAGO,
TENNESSEE, Jax, CLEVELAND, BUFFALO, GIANTS, PHILLY |
|
Losers - WASHINGTON |
|
No Plays - Baltimore,
Tampa, Arizona, Denver |
|
Total - 7-1 |
|
Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For
Anyone Under 21 Years of Age
|
|
The Legend
|
|
ATS
– Against Spread
aft
- after
bfr
- before
BPR
- Ben’s Power Rating
B2B
– Back To Back
BOUNCE
– Opp. result
D
– Dog
Def
- defense
DDD
– Double Digit Dog
DDF
- Double Digit Favorite
DIV - Division
F – Favorite
L
- Loss
SAND - Sandwich game
|
H – Home
HD – Home Dog
HF – Home Favorite
HOME TEAM – In Capitals
LW – Last Week
LY
– Last Year
N-DIV
- Non Division
O/U
– Over /Under
OFF
– Offense
R
– Road
REV
– Revenge
SU
– Straight Up
V
- Versus
W
- Win
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
