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Week 13 Results

Volume IX-Week 13

December 5, 2007

2007 Results

      

Week

Year to Date

%

Ben's Picks

-36

3-2 28-35-2 44%
Ben's Power Rating (BPR)

6-2

45-46-1

50%

Teasers 3-1 40-26-2 61%

Over/Unders

1-3 25-28-1 47%
HD's v Opposite Turf 0-0 13-17 43%

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Ben's Picks

All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise specified.

  • Loser - 5* Tampa v NEW ORLEANS --- Bucs not the same without Garcia at QB. Saints get back in the game with a win.

 

  • WINNER - 4* Jacksonville v INDY --- Jags play Colts tough and it’s all on the line here.

 

  • WINNER - 4* Giants v CHICAGO --- If it weren’t for Devon Hester the Bears would be the Court Jester.

 

  • WINNER - 4* Jets v MIAMI --- Jets off extra rest and Fish shouldn’t be spotting anyone.

 

  • Loser - 3* Houston v TENNESSEE --- The Titans are not.
 
Pick Results = 3-2 for +4*
 
Teasers

  (Teasers MUST include key numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)

·        Green Bay +14 WINNER

·        Buffalo +11 WINNER

·        Detroit +10 Loser

·        Houston +10 No Play

·        Jax +14 No Play

·        Jets +7 WINNER

·        Seattle +10 No Play

·        OAKLAND +10 No Play

 
Teaser Results = 3-1
 
The Over/Under's

 

·        Buffalo v WASHINGTON UNDER WINNER

·        Jacksonville v INDY UNDER Loser

·        Tampa v NEW ORLEANS UNDER Loser

·        Cleveland v ARIZONA OVER Loser

 
O/U Results = 1-3
 
HD's v Opposite Turf Teams
  • MIAMI if Dog No Play
  • CHICAGO if Dog No Play
 
Home Dog Results = 0-0
 

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Potential BPR Plays

    Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check individual game BPR's for any  line movements):

 
  • Green Bay +5.5 or greater
  • Jax +6 or greater
  • OAKLAND -2.5 or less

 

  • Atlanta +6.5 or greater
  • Seattle +3 or greater
  • CHICAGO Pk or +
  • Buffalo +5.5 or greater
  • Tampa +2 or greater
  • BALT. +11.5 or greater

NFL WEEK 13

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 29, 2007

Potential BPR Plays in Bold

EST

Line

BPR

Play If

Notes

301 Green Bay Packers

8:15

51

 

+5.5

Brett, Brett, Brett, Brett, ENOUGH ALREADY

302 Dallas Cowboys

7

-1.5

+2.5

Defense still a question

 

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 2, 2007

337 Atlanta Falcons

1:00

42

 

+6.5

Beat down last week

338 St. Louis Rams

3.5

-2.5

+1.5

QB Bulger ? / Playing better

339 Buffalo Bills

1:00

37

 

+5.5

QB Edwards starts / RB Lynch OUT

340 Wash. Redskins

6

-1.5

+2.5

Sean Taylor’s death

341 Detroit Lions

1:00

45.5

 

+8

Last 3 games bad

342 Minny Vikings

3.5

-4

Pk

Caught big breaks LW / Offense ?

343 Houston Texans

1:00

42

 

+6.5

 

344 Tennessee Titans

3.5

-2.5

+1.5

Offense stuck in neutral

345 Jacksonville Jags

1:00

45

 

+6

Play Indy tough

346 Indy Colts

7

-2

+2

Should be getting players back

347 New York Jets

1:00

38

 

+5

From bad

348 Miami Dolphins

1

-1

+3

To worse

349 San Diego Chargers

1:00

5.5

-3.5

+1

Starting to put it together, but on the road

350 Kansas City Chiefs

37.5

 

+7.5

No capable RB / Offense a joke

351 Seattle Seahawks

1:00

42

-1

+3

QB Hasselbeck ? / Throwing ball more

352 Philly Eagles

3

 

+5

Tough loss at N.E. / McNabb?

353 San Fran Niners

1:00

35.5

 

+5.5

Got a gift in the desert /

354 Carolina Panthers

3

-1.5

+2.5

Vinny, Vinny, Vinny / On a downer

355 Tampa Bay Bucs

4:15

42

-2

+2

Garcia not practicing ?, need him

356 New Orleans Saints

3

 

+6

Hit or miss

357 Cleveland Browns

4:00

51

 

+4

Won 5 of 6 / Offense clicking

358 Arizona Cardinals

Pk

Pk

+4

Issues in defensive backfield, not good v Clev

359 Denver Broncos

4:00

3.5

 

+10.5

Blew one in Windy City / Rival

360 Oakland Raiders

42

-6.5

-2.5

Would love to knock off Broncos

361 New York Giants

4:15

2

 

+8

Manning issues not coming at a good time

362 Chicago Bears

41.5

-4

Pk

Will they be able to score enough?

363 Cincy Bengals

8:15

45

 

+11

Can score, but can’t stop anyone

364 Pittsburgh Steelers

7

-7

-3

Will the field be ready this time?

 

MONDAY, DECEMBER 3, 2007

365New England Pats

8:30

20.5

-7.5

-3.5

Time to refocus, look out Baltimore

366 Baltimore Ravens

50

 

+11.5

Team is imploding

 
BPR Results
 Winners - Buffalo, Jax, Seattle, Tampa, OAKLAND, BALTIMORE
 Losers - Green Bay, CHICAGO
No Plays - Atlanta, 
BPR Results - 6-2
 

Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone Under 21 Years of Age

The Legend

ATS – Against Spread

aft - after

bfr - before

BPR - Ben’s Power Rating

B2B – Back To Back

BOUNCE – Opp. result

D – Dog

Def - defense

DDD – Double Digit Dog

DDF - Double Digit Favorite

DIV - Division

F – Favorite

L - Loss

SAND - Sandwich game

 

H – Home

HD – Home Dog

HF – Home Favorite

HOME TEAM – In Capitals

LW – Last Week

LY – Last Year

N-DIV - Non Division

O/U – Over /Under

OFF – Offense

R – Road

REV – Revenge

SU – Straight Up

V - Versus

W - Win