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Week 14 Results

 

Volume VIII-Week 14  Results

December 7, 2006

2006 Results

      

Week

Year to Date

%

Ben's Picks

+5

5-0 34-34-3 50%
Ben's Power Rating (BPR)

4-3

58-43-1

57%

 

Over/Unders

1-2-1 20-34-2 37%
Teasers 2-1 61-15-1 81%
HD's v Opposite Turf 2-2 16-12 57%

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Ben's Picks

All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise specified.

  • WINNER - 5* Buffalo v JETS --- Bills should have won 1st match up and get their revenge as a Dog.

 

  • WINNER - 5* Indy v JAX --- Colts have lost 2 of 3. Jags step up and take control at home.

 

  • WINNER - 5* Seattle v ARIZONA --- Seahawks B2B Road. Cards have won 2 of 3 SU.

 

  • WINNER - 4* Baltimore v KANSAS CITY --- Ravens extra rest, should be able to stop RB Johnson.

 

  • WINNER - 4* Minny v DETROIT --- Vikes outplayed Bears last week, on Road. Lions shorthanded in trenches.

 

 
Picks Results = 5-0 for +23*
 
The Over/Under's

·        Cleveland v PITTSBURGH UNDER Tie

·        Minny v DETROIT UNDER Loser

·        Buffalo v JETS UNDER Loser

·        Philly v WASHINGTON UNDER WINNER

 

 
O/U Results = 1-2-1
 
Teasers

  (Teasers MUST include key numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)

·        Baltimore +10 No Play

·        TAMPA +8 Loser

·        Minny +8 No Play

·        Giants +8 No Play

·        Buffalo +8 WINNER

·        Philly +7 No Play

·        ARIZONA +10 No Play

·        SAN DIEGO –3 WINNER

 

 
Teaser Total = 2-1
 
HD's v Opposite Turf Teams
  • TAMPA Loser
  • JAX if Dog WINNER
  • ARIZONA WINNER
  • ST. LOUIS Loser

 

 
Home Dog Results = 2-2
 

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Potential BPR Plays

    Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check individual game BPR's for any  line movements):

 

  • Cleveland +5.5 or greater
  • JAX –2 or less
  • ARIZONA +3 or greater
  • WASH. +2.5 or greater

 

  • Baltimore +2 or greater
  • CINCY –9 or less
  • Denver +7 or greater
  • DETROIT +1 or greater
  • TAMPA +5.5 or greater
  • NEW ENG. –2.5 or less
  • Chicago –5.5 or less

NFL WEEK 14

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 7, 2006

Potential BPR Plays in Bold

EST

Line

BPR

Play If

Notes

201 Cleveland Browns

E: 8:00

33

 

+5.5

REVENGE / QB Frye ? / Secondary injuries

202 Pittsburgh Steelers

7

-1.5

+2.5

2 starting WR OUT / Nothing to play for

 

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 10, 2006

203 Baltimore Ravens

E: 1:00

35.5

-2

+2

B2B R / After Thur game / Need to clinch Div

204 Kansas City Chiefs

3

 

+6

Blew game last week / In Wildcard hunt /

205 Atlanta Falcons

E: 1:00

3

-1.5

+2.5

B2B R / Offense limited / Wildcard hunt

206 Tampa Bay Bucs

38

 

+5.5

REVENGE / Playing out the string?

207 Minny Vikings

E: 1:00

38

 

+7.5

B2B R / QB ? / 3 OL ? / Held Bears to 110 yds

208 Detroit Lions

1

-3.5

+1

REVENGE / Many Injuries

209 Tennessee Titans

E: 1:00

42

 

+5.5

Young on a roll and getting better

210 Houston Texans

1.5

-1.5

+2.5

REVENGE / Many injuries on both lines

211 New York Giants

E: 1:00

40

 

+6.5

Need to Bounce back after disappointing loss

212 Carolina Panthers

3

-2.5

+1.5

Ditto / Fighting with Giants for Wildcard / QB?

213 New Orleans Saints

8:15

48

 

+10

Have scored over 30 in 4 of 5 games / 2 WR ?

214 Dallas Cowboys

6.5

-6

-2

Bounce Down after tough Div Win

215 Buffalo Bills

4:15

37

 

+7.5

REVENGE / Out gained Jets 475 to 256 in loss

216 New York Jets

3.5

-3.5

+1

In the Wildcard hunt, tough Div game

217 Indy Colts

E: 1:00

1.5

 

+10

B2B R / Colts D can’t stop the run

218 Jacksonville Jags

44

-6

-2

REVENGE / Jags can’t win in a shootout

219 Philly Eagles

E: 1:00

1.5

 

+5.5

Aft Mon W / Garcia looked good last week

220 Wash. Redskins

40.5

-1.5

+2.5

REVENGE / QB Campbell still learning

221 Oakland Raiders

E: 1:00

39

 

+17

Defense a force / Offence one of the worst ever

222 Cincy Bengals

11

-13

-9

Aft Thur W / Playing better on Defense

223 New England Pats

E: 1:00

3.5

-6.5

-2.5

Pats escaped last week / Have Dolphins #

224 Miami Dolphins

37

 

+10.5

REVENGE / Limited Offense w/out RB Brown

225 Green Bay Packers

4:00

44

 

+8

Favre up to his old tricks, can’t be trusted

226 San Fran Niners

4.5

-4

Pk

Played a stinker last week / Much better at H

227 Seattle Seahawks

4:00

3.5

 

+5

B2B Road / May letdown

228 Arizona Cardinals

45

-1

+3

REVENGE / Playing better won 2 of 3

229 Denver Broncos

4:15

42.5

 

+7

REVENGE / Cutler in tough against this front 7

230 San Diego Chargers

7.5

-3

-3

Rolling / Lking to clinch + home field advantage

 

MONDAY, DECEMBER 11, 2006

231 Chicago Bears

E: 8:30

6.5

-9.5

-5.5

Cruising, look out for a let down and bad QB

232 St. Louis Rams

40.5

 

+13.5

Bulger called out team last wk, max effort here

 
BPR Results
 Winners - Baltimore, JAX, ARIZONA, WASHINGTON
 Losers - Cleveland, Denver, CAROLINA
No Plays - TAMPA, CINCY, NEW ENGLAND, Chicago, DETROIT
Total - 4-3

Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone Under 21 Years of Age

The Legend

ATS – Against Spread

aft - after

bfr - before

BPR - Ben’s Power Rating

B2B – Back To Back

BOUNCE – Opp. result

D – Dog

Def - defense

DDD – Double Digit Dog

DDF - Double Digit Favorite

DIV - Division

F – Favorite

L - Loss

SAND - Sandwich game

 

H – Home

HD – Home Dog

HF – Home Favorite

HOME TEAM – In Capitals

LW – Last Week

LY – Last Year

N-DIV - Non Division

O/U – Over /Under

OFF – Offense

R – Road

REV – Revenge

SU – Straight Up

V - Versus

W - Win