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Week 14 Results

Volume IX-Week 14

December 13, 2007

2007 Results

      

Week

Year to Date

%

Ben's Picks

-40

2-3 30-38-2 44%
Ben's Power Rating (BPR)

1-3

46-49-1

48%

Teasers 0-3 40-29-2 58%

Over/Unders

2-2 27-30-1 47%
HD's v Opposite Turf 0-3 13-20 39%

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Ben's Picks

All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise specified.

  • WINNER - 4* Dallas v DETROIT --- Boys due for a downer, Lions due for an upper.

 

  • Loser - 4* Miami v BUFFALO --- The Fish are 0-12 but have played many close games. Bills can’t spot anyone 7, they didn’t even score a TD last week.

 

  • WINNER - 4* Tampa v HOUSTON --- Garcia should be back, but Bucs in a flat spot.

 

  • Loser - 4* Minny v SAN FRAN --- Vikes spotting too many. Niner veteran QB Dilfer should protect ball.

 

  • Loser - 4* Indy v BALTIMORE --- Colts winning but not dominating. Ravens in revenge mode for loss in playoffs last year.

 

 
Pick Results = 2-3 for -4*
 
Teasers

  (Teasers MUST include key numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)

·        Carolina +17 Loser

·        DETROIT +17 No Play

·        Miami +14 No Play

·        San Diego +7 No Play

·        NINERS +14 No Play

·        JETS +10 No Play

·        BALTIMORE +14 Loser

·        ATLANTA +10 Loser

 
Teaser Results = 0-3
 
The Over/Under's

·        Dallas v DETROIT OVER WINNER

·        Miami v BUFFALO UNDER Loser

·        Minny v SAN FRAN UNDER WINNER

·        Cleveland v JETS OVER Loser

 
O/U Results = 2-2
 
HD's v Opposite Turf Teams
  • TENNESSEE if Dog Loser
  • SAN FRAN Loser
  • JETS Loser
 
Home Dog Results = 0-3
 

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Potential BPR Plays

    Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check individual game BPR's for any  line movements):

 
  • Chicago +4 or greater
  • Pittsburgh +8.5 or greater
  • SAN FRAN +6.5 or greater
  • BALT. +9 or greater
  • DETROIT +4 or greater
  • San Diego +1
  • JETS +3.5 or greater
  • Oakland +12 or greater
  • HOUSTON +4 or greater
  • K.C. +5.5 or greater

NFL WEEK 14

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 6, 2007

Potential BPR Plays in Bold

EST

Line

BPR

Play If

Notes

101 Chicago Bears

8:15

38

 

+4

RB Benson OUT

102 Wash. Redskins

3

Pk

+4

Tough week for Skins

 

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 9, 2007

103 Carolina Panthers

1:00

38

 

+13

Better on the road

104 Jacksonville Jags

10.5

-9

-5

Jags can’t spot big numbers

105 Dallas Cowboys

1:00

11

 

+4

Flat spot for the Boys

106 Detroit Lions

51.5

Pk

+4

If they have anything left they better show it

107 Miami Dolphins

1:00

36

 

+10

QB Beck needs to hang on to ball

108 Buffalo Bills

7

-6

-2

Bills can’t score a TD, how do they spot one?

109 New York Giants

1:00

43

 

+6

RB Ward OUT

110 Philly Eagles

3

-2

+2

Revenge / McNabb ?

111 Oakland Raiders

1:00

41

 

+12

QB – choose from 3

112 Green Bay Packers

10

-8

-4

# to big, Brett might do business-win + no cover

113 Pittsburgh Steelers

4:15

49.5

 

+8.5

Guaranteeing a win, lot’s a luck

114 New England Pats

10.5

-4.5

Pk

Due for a big W

115 San Diego Chargers

1:00

41

-3

+1

Getting back on track

116 Tennessee Titans

Pk

 

+7

Only 1 W in last 4

117 St. Louis Rams

1:00

48

 

+11

Playing much better, 3-1 SU

118 Cincy Bengals

6.5

-7

-3

Hot and cold

119 Tampa Bay Bucs

1:00

3

-1.5

+2.5

Garcia – flat spot

120 Houston Texans

40

 

+4

Rosenfels starts at QB / RB Green Prob.

121 Arizona Cardinals

4:00

44

 

+10.5

WR’s Bolden and Fitzgerald both ?

122 Seattle Seahawks

7

-6.5

-2.5

Revenge / 4-0 SU

123 Minny Vikings

4:00

8.5

-2.5

+1.5

4-1 SU / Not ready to spot big #

124 San Fran Niners

39

 

+6.5

Dilfer starts at QB

125 Cleveland Browns

4:15

3.5

 

+4.5

Big O / Bad D

126 New York Jets

47.5

+3.5

Went off last week

127 Kansas City Chiefs

4:15

37

 

+5.5

QB ? / 3rd string RB

128 Denver Broncos

6.5

-1.5

+2.5

Falling apart at the seams /

129 Indy Colts

8:15

9

-5

-1

Colts winning, but not dominating

130 Baltimore Ravens

43.5

 

+9

REVENGE / another big game left in them?

 

MONDAY, DECEMBER 10, 2007

131 New Orleans Saints

8:30

4.5

-3

+1

Coach Peyton an idiot

132 Atlanta Falcons

44

 

+7

Chris Redmen at QB

 
BPR Results
 Winners - DETROIT
 Losers - Pittsburgh, SAN FRAN, K.C.
No Plays - Chicago, Oakland, San Diego, HOUSTON, JETS, BALTIMORE
BPR Results - 1-3
 

Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone Under 21 Years of Age

The Legend

ATS – Against Spread

aft - after

bfr - before

BPR - Ben’s Power Rating

B2B – Back To Back

BOUNCE – Opp. result

D – Dog

Def - defense

DDD – Double Digit Dog

DDF - Double Digit Favorite

DIV - Division

F – Favorite

L - Loss

SAND - Sandwich game

 

H – Home

HD – Home Dog

HF – Home Favorite

HOME TEAM – In Capitals

LW – Last Week

LY – Last Year

N-DIV - Non Division

O/U – Over /Under

OFF – Offense

R – Road

REV – Revenge

SU – Straight Up

V - Versus

W - Win