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Week 15 Results

Volume IX-Week 15

December 20, 2007

2007 Results

      

Week

Year to Date

%

Ben's Picks

-36

3-2 33-40-2 45%
Ben's Power Rating (BPR)

5-1

51-50-1

51%

Teasers 4-0 44-29-2 60%

Over/Unders

3-1 30-31-1 49%
HD's v Opposite Turf 4-1 17-21 35%

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Ben's Picks

All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise specified.

Thursday Nite

  • WINNER - 4* Denver v HOUSTON --- Broncos inconsistent, Texans good at home

 

  • WINNER - 5* Jacksonville v PITTSBURGH --- Jags on a roll, Steelers in apost New England hangover.

 

  • Loser - 5* Tennessee v KANSAS CITY --- Titans 1-4 SU and not a good road favorite

 

  • Loser - 4* Jets v NEW ENGLAND --- Pats revenge for ‘Spygate’, check the weather, need a fast track.

 

  • WINNER - 4* Indy v OAKLAND --- Colts in a flat spot, 3 of 4 on the road.
 
Pick Results = 3-2 for +4*
 
Teasers

  (Teasers MUST include key numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)

·        Arizona +10 WINNER

·        TAMPA -7 WINNER

·        Buffalo +10 WINNER

·        ST. LOUIS +17 No Play

·        Jacksonville +10 No Play

·        K.C. +10 No Play

·        OAKLAND +17 No Play

·        Chicago +14 WINNER

 
Teaser Results = 4-0
 
The Over/Under's

·        Arizona v NEW ORLEANS OVER WINNER

·        Buffalo v CLEVELAND UNDER WINNER

·        Philly v DALLAS OVER Loser

·        Chicago v MINNY UNDER WINNER

 
O/U Results = 3-1
 
HD's v Opposite Turf Teams

·        SAN FRAN WINNER

·        MIAMI WINNER

·        ST. LOUIS Loser

·        CAROLINA WINNER

·        OAKLAND WINNER

 
Home Dog Results = 4-1
 

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Potential BPR Plays

    Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check individual game BPR's for any  line movements):

 
  • HOUSTON -1.5 or less
  • MIAMI +1 or greater
  • CAROL. +8.5 or greater
  • Detroit +11.5 or greater
  • SAN FRAN +4 or greater
  • ST. LOUIS +10 or greater
  • K.C. +3.5 or greater
  • Philly +11 or greater
  • Atlanta +14.5
  • Jets +14.5 or greater
  • OAK. +6.5 or greater
  • Chicago +11 or greater

NFL WEEK 15

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 13, 2007

Potential BPR Plays in Bold

EST

Line

BPR

Play If

Notes

251 Denver Broncos

8:15

1

 

+9.5

Shanahan v former assistant  Kubiak

252 Houston Texans

47

-5.5

-1.5

QB Rosenfels / Playing better

 

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 15, 2007

253 Cincy Bengals

8:15

9

Pk

+4

Defense has many holes

254 San Fran Niners

43

 

+4

QB Hill ? / Offense stinks

 

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 16, 2007

255 Arizona Cardinals

1:00

47.5

 

+8.5

2 WR ? / Secondary ?

256 New Orleans Saints

3.5

-4.5

Pk

RB Bush OUT

257 Atlanta Falcons

1:00

39

 

+14.5

STAY AWAY – TEAM IMPLOSION

258 Tampa Bay Bucs

13

-10.5

-6.5

QB Garcia ?

259 Baltimore Ravens

1:00

3.5

 

+7

0-7 SU / If they lose here, coach in trouble

260 Miami Dolphins

37.5

-3

+1

QB Cleo Lemon starts / Pitiful last week

261 Buffalo Bills

1:00

43

 

+9

S George Wilson OUT / Need bad weather

262 Cleveland Browns

5.5

-5

-1

Can score / Defense ? / playoff implications

263 Green Bay Packers

1:00

10

-6

-2

What’s Favre up to?

264 St. Louis Rams

45

 

+10

QB Bulger ? /

265 Jacksonville Jags

1:00

37

 

+6

On a roll, tough out

266 Pittsburgh Steelers

3.5

-2

+2

S Palamalu ? / Pats hangover ?

267 New York Jets

1:00

46

 

+14.5

Man-Genius will turn into Man-Moron

268 New England Pats

23.5

-10.5

-6.5

Revenge for SPYGATE

269 Seattle Seahawks

1:00

7.5

-4.5

Pk

3 of 4 on road / locked up division

270 Carolina Panthers

37

 

+8.5

Packed it in?

271 Tennessee Titans

1:00

4

 

+4.5

1-4 SU / Need W for Wildcard run

272 Kansas City Chiefs

34

+3.5

QB Cryole / Last Home game

273 Indy Colts

4:00

10.5

-2.5

+1.5

3 of 4 on road / In a flat spot

274 Oakland Raiders

44.5

 

+6.5

QB McNown / Must man up

275 Detroit Lions

4:15

45.5

 

+11.5

0-4 SU / Can’t get out of their own way

276 San Diego Chargers

10

-7.5

-3.5

QB Rivers ? / Putting it together

277 Philly Eagles

4:15

48.5

 

+11

Revenge / last horrah

278 Dallas Cowboys

10.5

-7

-3

Only Pats slowed them down

279 Wash. Redskins

8:15

37

 

+8.5

QB Collins starts /

280 New York Giants

5

-4.5

Pk

Which Manning shows up?

 

MONDAY, DECEMBER 17, 2007

281 Chicago Bears

8:30

43

 

+11

QB Kyle Orton starts / Do Bears have any pride

282 Minny Vikings

10

-7

-3

HOT – but benefited from many turnovers last 3

 
BPR Results
 Winners - HOUSTON, SAN FRAN, MIAMI, Jets, OAKLAND
 Losers - KANSAS CITY
No Plays - Atlanta, ST. LOUIS, CAROLINA, Detroit, Philly, Chicago
BPR Results - 5-1
 

Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone Under 21 Years of Age

The Legend

ATS – Against Spread

aft - after

bfr - before

BPR - Ben’s Power Rating

B2B – Back To Back

BOUNCE – Opp. result

D – Dog

Def - defense

DDD – Double Digit Dog

DDF - Double Digit Favorite

DIV - Division

F – Favorite

L - Loss

SAND - Sandwich game

 

H – Home

HD – Home Dog

HF – Home Favorite

HOME TEAM – In Capitals

LW – Last Week

LY – Last Year

N-DIV - Non Division

O/U – Over /Under

OFF – Offense

R – Road

REV – Revenge

SU – Straight Up

V - Versus

W - Win