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Week 4 Results

 

Volume VIII, Week 4 Results

October 3, 2006

2006 Results

      

Week

Year to Date

%

Ben's Picks

+19

3-2 12-7-1 63%
Ben's Power Rating (BPR)

7-3

19-13-1

59%

 

Over/Unders

2-2 10-5-1 67%
Teasers 5-0 18-5-1 78%
HD's v Opposite Turf 0-1 4-3 57%

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Ben's Picks

All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise specified.

  • Loser - 5* Indy v JETS --- Jets gave up 475 yards to Buffalo, but got 3 TO’s. Indy won’t stall in the red zone.

 

  • Loser - 5* New Orleans v CAROLINA --- Saints let it all hang out on Mon Night, hungry Cats chew them up.

 

  • WINNER - 4* Arizona v ATLANTA --- Cards still can’t protect QB. Vick makes Ariz shoddy run D cry Uncle.

 

  • WINNER - 4* San Diego v BALTIMORE --- QB Rivers not ready for Ray-Ray and company on the road.

 

  • WINNER - 3* New England v CINCY --- Bengals have several injuries and let down after Pitt. Pats bounce back

 

 
Picks Results = 3-2
 
The Over/Under's

·        Indy v JETS OVER WINNER

·        New Orleans v CAROLINA UNDER WINNER

·        Detroit v ST. LOUIS UNDER Loser

·        Green Bay v PHILLY OVER Loser

 

 
O/U Results = 2-2
 
Teasers

  (Teasers MUST include key numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)

·        Indy –3 WINNER

·        BALTIMORE +7 No Play

·        BUFFALO +7 No Play

·        KANSAS CITY –2.5 WINNER

·        CAROLINA –2.5 WINNER

·        ATLANTA –2.5 WINNER

·        New England +10 WINNER

·        WASHINGTON +10 No Play

 
Teaser Total = 5-0
 
HD's v Opposite Turf Teams
  • BUFFALO if dog No Play
  • TENNESSEE Loser
 
Home Dog Results = 0-1
 

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Potential BPR Plays

    Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check individual game BPR's for any  line movements):

BPR Results
 Winners - JETS, New Orleans, HOUSTON,

          ST. LOUIS, WASH, Cleveland, CHICAGO

 Losers - San Fran, Cincy, Green Bay
No Plays - BUFFALO, TENN, Arizona
Total - 7-3

NFL WEEK 4

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 1, 2006

Potential BPR Plays in Bold

EST

Line

BPR

Play If

Notes

401 Indy Colts

E: 1:00

9

pk

+4

Jets gave up 475 yds LW, Colts get 600 ?

402 New York Jets

46

 

+4

Bad v run / Can’t throw downfield

403 San Diego Chargers

E: 1:00

2.5

-1

+3

Aft Bye / Rivers on R / D inj’s

404 Baltimore Ravens

33.5

 

+5

Tough at H

405 Minny Vikings

E: 1:00

34.5

 

+7

Not scoring / D tough

406 Buffalo Bills

1

-3

+1

Young can’t finish

407 Dallas Cowboys

E: 1:00

9.5

-6

-2

Jerry Jones signs Dr Kavorkian

408 Tennessee Titans

37

 

+10

O-Line banged up / D sucks

409 San Fran Niners

E: 1:00

40.5

-3

+1

Still taking lumps

410 Kansas City Chiefs

7

 

+7

Aft Bye / Will be conservative/ No Green

411 New Orleans Saints

E: 1:00

42

 

+7

Bounce DOWN aft Mon

412 Carolina Panthers

7

-3

+1

Need W, will be ready

413 Arizona Cardinals

E: 1:00

41.5

 

+8.5

Bad v Run / O-Line sucks

414 Atlanta Falcons

7

-4.5

pk

Can’t play from behind

415 Miami Dolphins

E: 1:00

3.5

 

+11

O-Line Inj, not scoring

416 Houston Texans

40.5

-7

-3

Need a lot of work

417 Detroit Lions

E: 4:00

44

 

+15

Martz returns / couldn’t win at home

418 St. Louis Rams

6

-11

-7

Conservative no interceptions

419 New England Pats

E: 4:15

46

 

+14.5

Still trying to get feel on offense

420 Cincy Bengals

6

-10.5

-6.5

Bounce DOWN aft Pitt/ Inj’s

421 Jacksonville Jags

E: 4:15

3

 

+5.5

D playing tough / Off can’t finish/ B2B R

422 Washington Redskins

34.5

1.5

+2.5

Better LW with Portis/ QB Brunell return

423 Cleveland Browns

E: 4:15

3

-11

-7

Gave Ravens all they could handle

424 Oakland Raiders

34

 

+15

Off not ready for prime time

425 Seattle Seahawks

E: 8:15

34.5

 

+18

RB Alexander out / O-Line ?

426 Chicago Bears

3

-14

-10

Off improving

Bye: Denver, Giants, Pitt, Tampa

MONDAY, OCTOBER 2, 2006
427 Green Bay Packers

E: 8:30

48

 

+10.5

Not ready for prime time / Will score

428 Philly Eagles

11

-6.5

-2.5

McNabb will light it up / D Inj’s

             

Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone Under 21 Years of Age

 

Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone Under 21 Years of Age

The Legend

ATS – Against Spread

aft - after

bfr - before

BPR - Ben’s Power Rating

B2B – Back To Back

BOUNCE – Opp. result

D – Dog

Def - defense

DDD – Double Digit Dog

DDF - Double Digit Favorite

DIV - Division

F – Favorite

L - Loss

SAND - Sandwich game

 

H – Home

HD – Home Dog

HF – Home Favorite

HOME TEAM – In Capitals

LW – Last Week

LY – Last Year

N-DIV - Non Division

O/U – Over /Under

OFF – Offense

R – Road

REV – Revenge

SU – Straight Up

V - Versus

W - Win