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Week 4 Results
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| Volume
IX-Week 5
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October 11, 2007
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2007 Results
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¶
|
Week
|
Year to Date
|
%
|
| Ben's Picks |
+5¶
|
3-2 |
13-11-1 |
54% |
| Ben's
Power Rating (BPR) |
3-6
|
18-17-1 |
51%
|
| Teasers
|
4-3 |
15-12-1 |
56% |
|
Over/Unders
|
2-2 |
12-8 |
60% |
| HD's v
Opposite Turf |
1-0 |
9-4 |
69% |
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|
Closing
Lines and Final Scores |
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Ben's
Picks
All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless
otherwise specified.
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- Loser
- 5* Tampa
v INDY --- Dungy facing former team, but Indy missing many
weapons. Tampa playing tough, Garcia makes things happen and
doesn’t make mistakes. Close game, parlay the UNDER.
- Loser
- 4* Cleveland
v NEW ENGLAND --- The Browns come to play and QB Anderson
stretches the field. Pats spotting big wood, leave the
backdoor open for former DC Romeo Crennel.
- WINNER
- 4* San
Diego v DENVER --- Bolts under siege. Broncos no
longer dominant at home and terrible against the run. LT makes
a statement.
- WINNER
- 4* Dallas v BUFFALO --- Cowboys full of themselves, just like
their owner. Buffalo getting players back on defense, QB
Edwards an upgrade, Bills play their Super Bowl.
- WINNER
- 3* Atlanta
v TENNESSEE --- Falcons improving. Titans aren’t ready to
spot big numbers.
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Picks Results = 3-2
for +2* |
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Teasers
(Teasers MUST include key
numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)
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|
·
Detroit +10
Loser
·
Atlanta +14
WINNER
·
Seattle +10
Loser
·
Cleveland +22
WINNER
·
Tampa +15
Loser
·
San Diego +7
No Play
·
Chicago +7
WINNER
·
BUFFALO +15
WINNER
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Teaser Total = 4-3 |
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The Over/Under's
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·
Jax v K.C. UNDER
WINNER
·
Seattle
v
PITTSBURGH
OVER
Loser
·
Tampa
v INDY UNDER
Loser
|
-
Dallas
v BUFFALO OVER
WINNER
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O/U Results = 2-2 |
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HD's v Opposite Turf
Teams
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Home Dog Results = 1 |
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Closing
Lines and Final Scores |
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Potential BPR Plays
Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power
Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of
4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are
the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check
individual game BPR's for any line movements):
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|
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-
Carolina
-5.5 or less
-
HOUSTON
-5.5 or less
-
Tampa
+1 or greater
-
GREEN
BAY
-9.5 or less
|
- Jax Pick or +
-
Cleveland
+11.5 or greater
-
San Diego
+1.5 or greater
-
BUFFALO
+9.5 or greater
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- TENN. -9 or less
-
Arizona
-5.5 or less
- SAN FRAN -3 or less
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NFL WEEK 5
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SUNDAY, OCTOBER 7, 2007
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Potential BPR Plays in Bold
|
EST
|
Line
|
BPR
|
Play
If
|
Notes
|
|
407
Carolina
Panthers
|
E:
1:00
|
44
|
-9.5
|
-5.5
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QB
Delhomme ? / Defense playing terrible
|
|
408
New Orleans
Saints
|
3
|
|
+13.5
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After
bye / Missing RB / Need W bad
|
|
409
Jacksonville
Jags
|
E:
1:00
|
2
|
-4
|
Pk
|
After
Bye / Offense bad in red zone
|
|
410
Kansas City
Chiefs
|
36
|
|
+8
|
Bounce
DOWN / Game should be close
|
|
411
Detroit
Lions
|
E:
1:00
|
46
|
|
+8
|
Bounce
DOWN /
Offense
Pass
, Pass, Pass
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412 Wash. Redskins
|
3.5
|
-4
|
Pk
|
After
Bye / QB
Campbell
needs to step up
|
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413 Atlanta Falcons
|
E:
1:00
|
40.5
|
|
+17
|
Getting
better
|
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414 Tennessee Titans
|
8
|
-13
|
-9
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After
Bye / Spotting big #
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415 Miami Dolphins
|
E:
1:00
|
43
|
|
+13.5
|
Fish
allowed Oak 299 yds rushing, nuf said
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416 Houston Texans
|
5.5
|
-9.5
|
-5.5
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Many
injuries
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417 Seattle Seahawks
|
E:
1:00
|
39
|
|
+8
|
Revenge
for SB XL.
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418 Pittsburgh Steelers
|
5.5
|
-4
|
Pk
|
Haven’t
beat anyone good
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419 Cleveland Browns
|
E:
1:00
|
48
|
|
+11.5
|
Hanging
tough / QB Anderson an improvement
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420 New England Pats
|
16.5
|
-7.5
|
-3.5
|
Big
#, watch out for the backdoor
|
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421 Arizona Cardinals
|
E:
1:00
|
3.5
|
-9.5
|
-5.5
|
Bounce
DOWN / QB’s still rotating
|
|
422 St. Louis Rams
|
40.5
|
|
+13.5
|
QB
Bulger, RB Jackson OUT / O-line in a shambles / Tough to bet on
|
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423 New York Jets
|
E:
1:00
|
41
|
|
+7
|
Bad
versus the pass / Don’t have the talent
|
|
424 New York Giants
|
3
|
-3
|
+1
|
Put
it together LW, can they keep it going?
|
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425 Tampa Bay Bucs
|
E:
4:00
|
46
|
-3.5
|
+1
|
Defense
playing great / Garcia keeps them in games
|
|
426
Indy Colts
|
10
|
|
+7.5
|
Many,
Many major injuries
RB
Addai, WR Harrison, S Sanders
|
|
427
San Diego
Chargers
|
E:
4:15
|
42
|
-2.5
|
+1.5
|
Need
to play a complete game / LT on a mission
|
|
428
Denver
Broncos
|
1
|
|
+6.5
|
Don’t
have the same H field advantage / Haven’t beaten anyone good / 2
seconds from 0-4
|
|
429
Baltimore
Ravens
|
E:
4:15
|
3
|
|
+11
|
Getting
old right before our eyes / B2B R
|
|
430 San Fran Niners
|
35.5
|
-7
|
-3
|
QB
Dilfer faces former team / Offense limited
|
|
431
Chicago
Bears
|
E:
8:15
|
41
|
|
+17.5
|
Bears
getting back some defensive players and will be growling and hungry
|
|
432
Green Bay
Packers
|
3
|
-13.5
|
-9.5
|
Bret,
Bret, Bret enough already!
|
BYE: Cincy,
Minny, Oak, Philly
|
MONDAY, OCTOBER 8, 2007
|
|
435
Dallas
Cowboys
|
E:
8:30
|
10
|
-5.5
|
-1.5
|
Wade
returns, has he found his headset yet?
|
|
436
Buffalo
Bills
|
44
|
|
+9.5
|
Getting
players back on defense / QB Edwards the real deal / tough out at
home
|
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BPR Results
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Winners - Carolina,
SAN FRAN, BUFFALO |
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Losers - TENN,
HOUSTON, Cleveland, Arizona, Tampa, GREEN BAY |
|
No Plays
- Jax, San Diego |
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Total - 3-6 |
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Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For
Anyone Under 21 Years of Age
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The Legend
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ATS
– Against Spread
aft
- after
bfr
- before
BPR
- Ben’s Power Rating
B2B
– Back To Back
BOUNCE
– Opp. result
D
– Dog
Def
- defense
DDD
– Double Digit Dog
DDF
- Double Digit Favorite
DIV - Division
F – Favorite
L
- Loss
SAND - Sandwich game
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H – Home
HD – Home Dog
HF – Home Favorite
HOME TEAM – In Capitals
LW – Last Week
LY
– Last Year
N-DIV
- Non Division
O/U
– Over /Under
OFF
– Offense
R
– Road
REV
– Revenge
SU
– Straight Up
V
- Versus
W
- Win
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