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Week 6 Results

Volume IX-Week 6

October 18, 2007

2007 Results

      

Week

Year to Date

%

Ben's Picks

+4

2-2-1 15-13-2 54%
Ben's Power Rating (BPR)

2-4

20-21-1

49%

Teasers 3-2-1 18-14-2 56%

Over/Unders

2-2 14-10 58%
HD's v Opposite Turf 1-1 10-5 67%

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Ben's Picks

All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise specified.

 

  • Loser - 5* New England v DALLAS --- Boys had 5 turnovers on Monday Night and still won. Teams are fairly equal and Boys a significant home dog. Take the points.

 

  • Loser - 4* Houston v JAX – Texans much improved and Jags are a bad favorite. Take the major points in low scoring affair.

 

  • WINNER - 4* Minny v CHICAGO --- Vikings off a Bye and play the Bears tough. Bears still struggling on offense. Another low scoring game, take the points.

 

  • TIE - 4* Washington v GREEN BAY --- Skins playing tough defense, Packers one dimensional.

 

  • WINNER - 4* Carolina v ARIZONA --- Panthers excel in Dog roll. Cards improved, but not ready to spot pts.

 

 
Picks Results = 2-2-1 for -1*
 
Teasers

  (Teasers MUST include key numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)

 

·        Houston +11 Loser

·        Miami +10 Tie

·        Minny +11 No Play

·        BALTIMORE -3 WINNER

·        Tennessee +8 No Play

·        Washington +8 WINNER

·        Carolina +10 WINNER

·        DALLAS +10 Loser

 
Teaser Total = 3-2-1
 
The Over/Under's

·        Houston v JAX UNDER Loser

·        Minny v CHICAGO UNDER Loser

·        Washington v GREEN BAY UNDER WINNER

·        Oakland v SAN DIEGO UNDER WINNER

 
O/U Results = 2-2
 
HD's v Opposite Turf Teams
  • KANSAS CITY WINNER
  • JETS Loser
 
Home Dog Results = 1-1
 

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Potential BPR Plays

    Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check individual game BPR's for any  line movements):

 

  • JAX -5 or less
  • JETS +1.5 or greater
  • Carolina +5 or greater
  • SEATTLE -10.5 or less
  • CLEVELAND -3.5 or less
  • St. Louis +9 or greater
  • DALLAS +6 or greater
  • ATLANTA +5 or greater
  • Minny +3.5 or greater
  • Wash +5 or greater
  • Oakland +7.5 or greater
  • K. C. +4 or greater

 

 

 

NFL WEEK 6

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 14, 2007

Potential BPR Plays in Bold

EST

Line

BPR

Play If

Notes

207 Cincy Bengals

1:00

3

Pk

+4

After Bye / Team Infighting / Inj LB’s ?

208 Kansas City Chiefs

41.5

 

+4

QB ? / L.J. Not gaining many yards

209 Houston Texans

1:00

37

 

+13

5-1 v Jax / Many inj Offense

210 Jacksonville Jags

7

-9

-5

2 X Revenge / Defense playing great

211 Miami Dolphins

1:00

45

 

+11.5

B2B R / QB Lemon starts /

212 Cleveland Browns

4.5

-7.5

-3.5

RB Lewis ? /

213 Minny Vikings

1:00

37.5

+3.5

After BYE / QB Jackson should start

214 Chicago Bears

5.5

 

+4.5

Many injuries on Defense

215 Philly Eagles

1:00

3

 

+6.5

12-1 SU After BYE / RB Westbrook ? / Many return from injury /

216 New York Jets

42

-2.5

+1.5

QB Pennington starts / Can’t protect QB

217 St. Louis Rams

1:00

37

 

+9

QB Bulger OUT / Many injuries especially offensive line

218 Baltimore Ravens

9.5

-5

-1

Many points to spot for a bad offense /

Beware 0-5 ATS

219 Tennessee Titans

1:00

38

 

+6.5

12-1 D / 13-4 v NFC / 5 TO LW still won

220 Tampa Bay Bucs

3

-3.5

+1

12-4 HD / 6-10 v AFC / RB Cadillac and Pittman OUT

221 Wash. Redskins

1:00

40

 

+5

Tough Defense, stopped Lions cold / 2 WR ?

222 Green Bay Packers

3.5

-1

+3

One dimensional, won’t do it v Skins / C OUT

223 Carolina Panthers

4:00

40.5

 

+5

B2B R / 19-6 RD / QB Carr starts

224 Arizona Cardinals

4

-1

+3

QB Leinart out, Warner Starts / WR Boldin ? /

2 OL, DT ?

225 New England Pats

4:15

5.5

-2

+2

12-3 v NFC / Spotting good team on R ?

226 Dallas Cowboys

53

 

+6

After Mon Night escape / Romo 5 TO’s LW /

Good line value after LW

227 Oakland Raiders

4:15

44

 

+7.5

After BYE / QB Culpepper starts / Much improv

228 San Diego Chargers

9.5

-3.5

+1

1-6 DDF H / Norv Turner Spotting 10, need we say more ?

229 New Orleans Saints

8:15

43

 

+18.5

0-4 SU will be all out for W / Bush not every down back / Not same team as LY

230 Seattle Seahawks

7

-14.5

-10.5

Shutout LW / Bounce UP

BYE: Buffalo , Denver , Detroit , Indy, Pitt, San Fran

MONDAY, OCTOBER 15, 2007

233 New York Giants

8:30

3

-1

+3

Overrated / Still susceptible on defense

234 Atlanta Falcons

44

 

+5

Still a work in progress under Petrino / Lost 2 OL, will have trouble protecting QB

 
BPR Results
 Winners - Minny, Carolina
 Losers - JETS, St. Louis, Oakland, SEATTLE
No Plays - JAX, CLEVELAND, Washington, DALLAS, ATLANTA, K.C.
Total - 2-4
 

Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone Under 21 Years of Age

The Legend

ATS – Against Spread

aft - after

bfr - before

BPR - Ben’s Power Rating

B2B – Back To Back

BOUNCE – Opp. result

D – Dog

Def - defense

DDD – Double Digit Dog

DDF - Double Digit Favorite

DIV - Division

F – Favorite

L - Loss

SAND - Sandwich game

 

H – Home

HD – Home Dog

HF – Home Favorite

HOME TEAM – In Capitals

LW – Last Week

LY – Last Year

N-DIV - Non Division

O/U – Over /Under

OFF – Offense

R – Road

REV – Revenge

SU – Straight Up

V - Versus

W - Win