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Week 7 Results

Volume IX-Week 7

October 23, 2007

2007 Results

      

Week

Year to Date

%

Ben's Picks

0

2-3 17-16-2 52%
Ben's Power Rating (BPR)

3-6

23-27-1

46%

Teasers 6-0 24-14-2 63%

Over/Unders

3-1 17-11 61%
HD's v Opposite Turf 0-2 10-7 59%

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Ben's Picks

All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise specified.

  • Loser - 5* Arizona v WASHINGTON --- UNDER the Total --- The Cards are starting newcomer Tim Rattay versus a much improved Washington defense. The Skins O-line shuffled due to injury. Look for a conservative game plan by both teams.

 

  • WINNER - 5* Baltimore v BUFFALO --- Ravens O-line in turmoil, Bills off a Bye week and should be able to pressure QB Boller with quick Defensive Ends.

 

  • Loser - 4* Indy v JAX --- The Jags always play the Colts tough and QB Garrard is not making mistakes. Jags are a great home dog.

 

  • WINNER - 3* Arizona v WASHINGTON --- Conservative game plan benefits Cards plus the significant points. Check out a parlay with the UNDER.

 

  • Loser - 3* San Fran v GIANTS --- Niners in off a Bye and get back QB Smith. G-Men in tough spot after win on Monday Night and game in London on deck. Take the major wood.
 
Picks Results = 2-3 for -4*
 
Teasers

  (Teasers MUST include key numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)

·        Arizona +14 WINNER

·        NEW ORLEANS -3 WINNER

·        BUFFALO +8 WINNER

·        DALLAS -3 No Play

·        HOUSTON +7 No Play

·        KANSAS CITY +7 WINNER

·        CINCY -2 WINNER

·        SEATTLE-3 WINNER

 
Teaser Total = 6-0
 
The Over/Under's

·        Baltimore v BUFFALO UNDER WINNER

·        San Fran v GIANTS OVER WINNER

·        Chicago v PHILLY OVER Loser

·        St. Louis v SEATTLE UNDER WINNER

 
O/U Results = 3-1
 
HD's v Opposite Turf Teams
  • MIAMI Loser
  • DETROIT if Dog No Play
  • JAX Loser
 
Home Dog Results = 0-2
 

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Potential BPR Plays

    Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check individual game BPR's for any  line movements):

  • Arizona +10.5 or greater
  • Minny +5 or greater
  • Tampa Pk or +
  • Pittsburgh -13 or less
  • Atlanta +4 or greater
  • MIAMI +10 or greater
  • Jets +7.5 or greater
  • JAX -4 or less
  • BUFFALO -1 or less
  • San Fran +6.5 or greater
  • SEATTLE -10.5 or less
  • Chicago +7.5

 

 

 

NFL WEEK 7

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 21, 2007

Potential BPR Plays in Bold

EST

Line

BPR

Play If

Notes

405 Arizona Cardinals

1:00

36

 

+10.5

Rattay starts at QB

406 Wash. Redskins

8

-6.5

-2.5

O-line in a big shuffle

407 Atlanta Falcons

1:00

42

Pk

+4

After Mon / 2 T OUT / Leftwich start at QB, didn’t look good LW

408 New Orleans Saints

8.5

 

+4

5-1 v Atlanta / Over v Atlanta

409 Baltimore Ravens

1:00

3

 

+9

Kyle Boller starts at QB / O-line banged up / bad road favorite

410 Buffalo Bills

35

-5

-1

After Bye / 3-0 at home / Trent Edwards starts at QB / Pass rush should get to Boller

411 Minny Vikings

4:15

47

 

+5

Bounce DOWN after W in Chicago / B2B R

412 Dallas Cowboys

9.5

-1

+3

Bounce UP after humiliating L to Pats

413 New England Pats

1:00

17

-6

-2

B2B R / 6-0 ATS / Who’s going to stop the train

414 Miami Dolphins

51.5

 

+10

Fish still swimming upstream / 7-2 H v Pats

415 San Fran Niners

1:00

39.5

 

+6.5

After Bye / Smith starts at QB /

416 New York Giants

9.5

-2.5

+1.5

After Monday Night / London on deck / Have rebounded nicely after poor start /

417 Tampa Bay Bucs

1:00

44

-4.5

Pk

New RB Bennett/ Garcia doesn’t make mistakes

418 Detroit Lions

2.5

 

+8.5

After Bye / Marrinelli former Bucs coordinator /

419 Tennessee Titans

1:00

1

-1.5

+2.5

B2B R / QB Young ? , likes to beat Houston

420 Houston Texans

38.5

 

+5.5

WR Johnson ? / 0-4 v Titans

421 Kansas City Chiefs

4:00

37.5

 

+5.5

Playing much better / have Raiders #

422 Oakland Raiders

2.5

-1.5

+2.5

3-9 H v Chiefs / Culpepper 3-18 as starter, mistake waiting to happen

423 New York Jets

4:00

47

 

+7.5

Offense not scoring / Def. not stopping people

424 Cincy Bengals

6

-3.5

+1

Many injuries / Need W badly

425 Chicago Bears

4:15

41

 

+7.5

1-10 ATS / Starting to get healthy / QB Greise and improvement

426 Philly Eagles

5

-3.5

+1

 Many injuries / Offense can’t punch it in

427 St. Louis Rams

4:15

40

 

+18.5

QB Bulger returns but won’t do any good with major injuries to WR’s and O-line

428 Seattle Seahawks

9

-14.5

-10.5

Hawks not looking good after 2 L’s / 2 WR ?

429 Pittsburgh Steelers

8:15

3.5

-17

-13

After Bye / Steelers look strong / 2 CB ?

430 Denver Broncos

39

 

+21

After Bye / Allowing rushing yards / Many Inj

BYE: Carolina , Cleveland , Green Bay , San Diego

MONDAY, OCTOBER 22, 2007

433 Indy Colts

8:30

3

 

+12

After Bye / 1-6 RF / Many players return

434 Jacksonville Jags

45

-8

-4

7-2 v Colts / 21-3 D / DE McDougle ?

 
BPR Results
 Winners - Atlanta, BUFFALO, SEATTLE
 Losers - Minny, MIAMI, San Fran, Tampa, Pittsburgh, JAX
No Plays - Arizona, Jets, Chicago
Total - 3-6
 

Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone Under 21 Years of Age

The Legend

ATS – Against Spread

aft - after

bfr - before

BPR - Ben’s Power Rating

B2B – Back To Back

BOUNCE – Opp. result

D – Dog

Def - defense

DDD – Double Digit Dog

DDF - Double Digit Favorite

DIV - Division

F – Favorite

L - Loss

SAND - Sandwich game

 

H – Home

HD – Home Dog

HF – Home Favorite

HOME TEAM – In Capitals

LW – Last Week

LY – Last Year

N-DIV - Non Division

O/U – Over /Under

OFF – Offense

R – Road

REV – Revenge

SU – Straight Up

V - Versus

W - Win