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Week 8 Results

Volume IX-Week 8

November 1, 2007

2007 Results

      

Week

Year to Date

%

Ben's Picks

-5

2-3 19-19-2 50%
Ben's Power Rating (BPR)

3-5

26-32-1

45%

Teasers 1-2 25-16-2 61%

Over/Unders

0-4 17-15 53%
HD's v Opposite Turf 0-4 10-11 48%

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Ben's Picks

All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise specified.

  • Loser - 5* Detroit v CHICAGO --- ‘Da’ Bears in revenge mode and playing much better with Griese at QB. ‘Da’ Lions do not travel well especially on grass.

 

  • WINNER - 4* Cleveland v ST. LOUIS --- Browns off a bye and much improved with Anderson at QB. Rams O-line in deep doo-doo and it shows, only 9 points last 2 games.

 

  • Loser - 4* Philly v MINNY --- Eagles very inconsistent and McNabb can’t get out of the way. Vikings Coach Childress former Eagle Coordinator knows how to stop Philly.

 

  • WINNER - 3* Oakland v TENNESSEE --- Titans not ready to spot big wood.

 

  • Loser - 3* New Orleans v SAN FRAN --- Saints on grass, missing RB Deuce.
 
Picks Results = 2-3 for -5*
 
Teasers

  (Teasers MUST include key numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)

·        CHICAGO Pk Loser

·        Carolina +14 No Play

·        Giants -3 No Play

·        Oakland +14 No Play

·        MINNY +7 No Play

·        Buffalo +7 WINNER

·        JAX +10 No Play

·        SAN FRAN +7 Loser

 
Teaser Total = 1-2
 
The Over/Under's

·        Philly v MINNY UNDER Loser

·        Pittsburgh v CINCY OVER Loser

·        Buffalo v JETS OVER Loser

·        New Orleans v SAN FRAN UNDER Loser

 
O/U Results = 0-4
 
HD's v Opposite Turf Teams
  • ST. LOUIS Loser
  • CAROLINA Loser
  • MINNY if Dog No Play
  • CINCY Loser
  • SAN FRAN Loser
 
Home Dog Results = 0-4
 

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Potential BPR Plays

    Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check individual game BPR's for any  line movements):

 

  • Cleveland -6 or less
  • Oakland +8.5 or greater
  • Houston +9 or greater

Or Houston +6 or greater

  • CAROLINA +3 or greater
  • MINNY -1.5 or less
  • Jax +5.5 or greater
  • Washington +8 or greater
  • Miami +9 or greater
  • Buffalo +4 or greater
  • SAN FRAN -3.5 or less
  • Green Bay -4.5 or less

 

 

 

NFL WEEK 8

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 28, 2007

Potential BPR Plays in Bold

EST

Line

BPR

Play If

Notes

203 Cleveland Browns

1:00

3

-10

-6

After Bye / Browns putting it together / RB ?

204 St. Louis Rams

44

 

+14

 Rams injury riddled and in turmoil

205 Detroit Lions

1:00

44

 

+7.5

Not a good road team / Detroit 37 – Chic 27, Sept. 30

206 Chicago Bears

5

-3.5

+1

Revenge / Playing much better with Griese

207 Indy Colts

1:00

7

 

+5

After Mon / B2B R / Pats on deck / on grass

208 Carolina Panthers

44

-1

+3

After Bye / Vinnie at QB ? /

209 New York Giants

1:00

10

-5

-1

G-Men on a roll /

210 Miami Dolphins

At London , England

48

 

+9

Fish lose best player RB Brown / Things bleak

211 Oakland Raiders

1:00

40.5

 

+8.5

QB McCown ?

212 Tennessee Titans

9

-4.5

Pk

QB Young, 2 WR ?

213 Philly Eagles

1:00

1

 

+9.5

McNabb can’t get our of way

214 Minny Vikings

37

-5.5

-1.5

Childress former Eagle Coord/ Good v run/ QB?

215 Pittsburgh Steelers

1:00

3.5

-4

Pk

B2B R / Healthy

216 Cincy Bengals

48

 

+8

Many Injuries especially at LB

217 Buffalo Bills

4:00

37

Pk

+4

BUF 17 – Jets 14, Sept 30 / QB Edwards/ Bad R

218 New York Jets

3

 

+4

Revenge / usually split with Bills

219 Houston Texans

4:00

NL

 

+9 or +6

QB Shaub ? / Tough spot after last second L

220 San Diego Chargers

Neutral Site ?

NL

-5 or -2

-1 or +2

After Bye / Practiced in Phoenix this week / C, NT ? – Big loss

221 Jacksonville Jags

4:00

32

 

+5.5

After Mon Night / QB Garrard OUT

222 Tampa Bay Bucs

4

-1.5

+2.5

Garcia has not thrown interception

223 New Orleans Saints

4:15

3

 

+11.5

Playing better, but miss Deuce

224 San Fran Niners

40

-7.5

-3.5

QB Smith, RB Gore ? / Offense sucks

225 Wash. Redskins

4:15

48

 

+8

Offense doesn’t do much

226 New England Pats

16.5

-4

Pk

Pats on huge roll, but Colts on deck

BYE: Arizona , Atlanta , Baltimore , Dallas , Kansas City, Seattle

MONDAY, OCTOBER 29, 2007

229 Green Bay Packers

8:30

42

-8.5

-4.5

After Bye / No running game

230 Denver Broncos

3

 

+12.5

Caught a break in all 3 wins

 
BPR Results
 Winners - Cleveland, Miami, Green Bay
 Losers - CAROLINA, MINNY, Houston, SAN FRAN, Washington
No Plays - Oakland, Buffalo, Jax, 
Total - 3-5
 

Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone Under 21 Years of Age

The Legend

ATS – Against Spread

aft - after

bfr - before

BPR - Ben’s Power Rating

B2B – Back To Back

BOUNCE – Opp. result

D – Dog

Def - defense

DDD – Double Digit Dog

DDF - Double Digit Favorite

DIV - Division

F – Favorite

L - Loss

SAND - Sandwich game

 

H – Home

HD – Home Dog

HF – Home Favorite

HOME TEAM – In Capitals

LW – Last Week

LY – Last Year

N-DIV - Non Division

O/U – Over /Under

OFF – Offense

R – Road

REV – Revenge

SU – Straight Up

V - Versus

W - Win