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Week 9 Results

 

Volume VIII, Week 9  Results

November 8, 2006

2006 Results

      

Week

Year to Date

%

Ben's Picks

+13

3-2 23-20-2 55%
Ben's Power Rating (BPR)

4-2

35-29-1

55%

 

Over/Unders

2-2 17-18-1 49%
Teasers 5-0 40-9-1 82%
HD's v Opposite Turf 2-0 9-6 60%

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Ben's Picks

All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise specified.

  • WINNER - 5* Houston v GIANTS --- Line value, Texans dominated last week but lost. Giants injuries on Def.

 

  • WINNER 5* Dallas v WASHINGTON --- Skins get revenge for early loss to Dallas, without Portis. Need W.

 

  • Loser 5* New Orleans v TAMPA --- Saints needed a Reggie Bush punt return to beat Tampa at home. Different result on road.

 

  • Loser -  4* Kansas City v ST. LOUIS --- Chiefs not the same team on the road. Rams play hard.

 

  • WINNER - 3* Oakland v SEATTLE --- Raiders got lucky last week. Seahawks a force at home.

 

 
Picks Results = 3-2 for +4*
 
The Over/Under's
  • Houston v GIANTS OVER Loser
  • Green Bay v BUFFALO OVER Loser
  • Minny v SAN FRAN UNDER WINNER
  • Oakland v SEATTLE UNDER WINNER

 

 
O/U Results = 2-2
 
Teasers

  (Teasers MUST include key numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)

·        Houston +18 WINNER

·        JAX –3 No Play

·        WASHINGTON +10 No Play

·        TAMPA +7 No Play

·        DETROIT +10 WINNER

·        SAN FRAN +10 WINNER

·        Denver +8 WINNER

·        SEATTLE –3 WINNER

 

 
Teaser Total = 5-0
 
HD's v Opposite Turf Teams
  • WASHINGTON WINNER
  • TAMPA if Dog No Play
  • SAN FRAN WINNER

 

 
Home Dog Results = 2-0
 

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Potential BPR Plays

    Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check individual game BPR's for any  line movements):

 

  • BALT. –4.5 or less
  • Green Bay +5.5 or greater
  • SAN FRAN +5 or greater
  • Houston +12 or greater
  • DETROIT +6 or greater
  • Cleveland +12.5 or greater
  • WASH. +4 or greater
  • CHICAGO –20 or less
  • Denver –1.5 or less

 

 

 

 

NFL WEEK 9

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 5, 2006

Potential BPR Plays in Bold

EST

Line

BPR

Play If

Notes

207 Kansas City Chiefs

E: 1:00

48

 

+8

K.C. not as good on R / 2 OL ?

208 St. Louis Rams

2.5

-4

Pk

No place like Dome

209 Cincy Bengals

E: 1:00

40.5

 

+12.5

12-2 R / Division showdown

210 Baltimore Ravens

3

-8.5

-4.5

6-6 HF v Cincy

211 Houston Texans

E: 1:00

42.5

 

+12

B2B R / 5 turnovers last week

212 New York Giants

13

-8

-4

Many inj’s on D / Not paying attention

213 Tennessee Titans

E: 1:00

37

 

+12.5

Pacman gobbled up by suspension

214 Jacksonville Jags

9.5

-8.5

-4.5

QB Garrard starts / 2 shutouts in 3 H games

215 Dallas Cowboys

E: 1:00

3

 

+4

B2B R / Beat Skins 27-10 H – No Portis

216 Wash. Redskins

42.5

Pk

+4

After Bye / Revenge / Need W bad

217 Green Bay Packers

E: 1:00

40.5

 

+5.5

Favre stepping up / Many injuries

218 Buffalo Bills

3

-1.5

+2.5

After Bye / Shuffling O-Line

219 New Orleans Saints

E: 1:00

1

 

+4

Beat Bucs 24-21 H / Horn, Bush ?

220 Tampa Bay Bucs

38

Pk

+4

Revenge / D injuries

221 Atlanta Falcons

E: 1:00

5.5

-2

+2

B2B R / 2 OG, DE OUT

222 Detroit Lions

47

 

+6

After Bye / Healthy / Will compete

223 Miami Dolphins

E: 1:00

37.5

 

+28

After Bye / QB ? / 0-7 ATS

224 Chicago Bears

13.5

-24

-20

Are they worthy of the hype? / 2 LB ?

225 Minny Vikings

E: 4:00

5

-1

+3

After Mon L / 2 WR ?

226 San Fran Niners

43

 

+5

6-1 O/U / Much better at H

227 Cleveland Browns

E: 4:15

42

 

+12.5

O’Line Inj’s / Tough spot

228 San Diego Chargers

12.5

-8.5

-4.5

D a little thin, LB Suspended

229 Denver Broncos

E: 4:15

37

-5.5

-1.5

Revenge, lost AFC Champ. To Pitt

230 Pittsburgh Steelers

3

 

+9.5

Big Ben needs to shake off the cobwebs

231 Indy Colts

E: 8:15

48

 

+14

Beat Pats here LY / Bad v Run

232 New England Pats

3

-10

-6

Pats morph from pass to run / Revenge

Bye: Arizona, Carolina, Jets, Philly

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 6, 2006

235 Oakland Raiders

E: 8:30

37.5

 

+11

Only gained 98 yards in W LW / 2RB, SS, OG?

236 Seattle Seahawks

7.5

-7

-3

O-4 ATS / Alexander and Hasselbeck OUT / Home field huge

 
BPR Results
 Winners - BALTIMORE, Houston, Cleveland, Denver
 Losers - CHICAGO, NEW ENGLAND
No Plays - WASHINGTON, Green Bay, DETROIT, SAN FRAN
Total - 4-2

Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone Under 21 Years of Age

The Legend

ATS – Against Spread

aft - after

bfr - before

BPR - Ben’s Power Rating

B2B – Back To Back

BOUNCE – Opp. result

D – Dog

Def - defense

DDD – Double Digit Dog

DDF - Double Digit Favorite

DIV - Division

F – Favorite

L - Loss

SAND - Sandwich game

 

H – Home

HD – Home Dog

HF – Home Favorite

HOME TEAM – In Capitals

LW – Last Week

LY – Last Year

N-DIV - Non Division

O/U – Over /Under

OFF – Offense

R – Road

REV – Revenge

SU – Straight Up

V - Versus

W - Win