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Week 9 Results

Volume IX-Week 9

November 8, 2007

2007 Results

      

Week

Year to Date

%

Ben's Picks

-18

1-4 20-23-2 47%
Ben's Power Rating (BPR)

5-2

31-34-1

48%

Teasers 2-3 27-19-2 59%

Over/Unders

2-1-1 19-16-1 54%
HD's v Opposite Turf 2-1 12-12 50%

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Ben's Picks

All trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise specified.

  • Loser -5* Baltimore v PITTSBURGH --- Ravens get McNair back after bye along with several other starters. Steelers will be tough at home, but Ravens beat them 2 times last year.

 

  • Loser - 4* Green Bay v KANSAS CITY --- The Pact travel back to back after a Monday night miracle. The Chiefs are off a bye and playing much better on defense, should slow down Favre.

 

  • Loser - 4* Carolina v TENNESSEE --- Panthers a good road dog. Titans’ passing game was nonexistent last week. Young playing hurt. Take the points.

 

  • WINNER - 3* Cincy v BUFFALO --- Bengals on a real downer after losing to Pitt. Bills on a roll and J.P. Losman has something to prove.

 

  • Loser - 3* Dallas v PHILLY --- Boys on a roll, but haven’t beat a good team yet. Eagles struggled early, but must win here to keep hope alive.
 
Pick Results = 1-4 for -13*
 
Teasers

  (Teasers MUST include key numbers: 3, 6, 7, 10, 13, 14, etc.)

·        JETS +10 No Play

·        Arizona +10 No Play

·        Carolina +10 Loser

·        Jax +10 No Play

·        BUFFALO +7 WINNER

·        San Diego -2.5 Loser

·        INDY +10 WINNER

·        Baltimore +14 Loser

 
Teaser Results = 2-3
 
The Over/Under's

·        Washington v JETS UNDER Loser

·        Cincy v BUFFALO OVER WINNER

·        Seattle v CLEVELAND OVER WINNER

·        Houston v OAKLAND UNDER Tie

 
O/U Results = 2-1-1
 
HD's v Opposite Turf Teams
  • JETS WINNER
  • MINNY WINNER
  • CLEVELAND if Dog No Play
  • PHILLY Loser
 
Home Dog Results = 2-1
 

Closing Lines and Final Scores

 
Potential BPR Plays

    Remember compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread, in the chart below, and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential plays for this week; I have already added the 4 points. (Check individual game BPR's for any  line movements):

  • JETS +2 or greater
  • San Fran +4 or greater
  • BUFFALO -2.5 or less
  • OAKLAND -1 or less
  • Green Bay +2 or greater
  • Jax Pk or +
  • MINNY +3.5 or greater
  • PHILLY +1.5 or greater
  • TAMPA -1.5 or less
  • DETROIT -6 or less
  • INDY +1 or greater
  • PITTSBURGH -7.5 or less

 

 

 

NFL WEEK 9

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 4, 2007

Potential BPR Plays in Bold

EST

Line

BPR

Play If

Notes

403 Wash. Redskins

1:00

3.5

 

+6

B2B R / Bounce UP / Beware the hook

404 New York Jets

35

-2

+2

Playing bad / Lemon QB / LB Vilma OUT

405 Green Bay Packers

1:00

37

-2

+2

B2B R after Mon W / Can’t run

406 Kansas City Chiefs

2.5

 

+6

After Bye / Defense playing tough /

407 Arizona Cardinals

1:00

38

 

+9.5

After Bye / Warner starts

408 Tampa Bay Bucs

3.5

-5.5

-1.5

RB’s injured / Garcia can’t turn ball over

409 Carolina Panthers

1:00

35.5

 

+9

QB ? / Good road team

410 Tennessee Titans

4

-5

-1

Young playing hurt / Only 30 yards passing LW

411 San Fran Niners

1:00

37

Pk

+4

Offense going nowhere /

412 Atlanta Falcons

3

 

+4

After bye / QB ?

413 Jacksonville Jags

1:00

40

-4.5

Pk

B2B2B R /

414 New Orleans Saints

3.5

 

+8.5

3-11 F / Playing better

415 Denver Broncos

1:00

46

 

+14

After Mon L / RB Henry ? / 1-6

416 Detroit Lions

3

-10

-6

Bounce DOWN /

417 Cincy Bengals

1:00

43

 

+10.5

RB ? / Overrated /

418 Buffalo Bills

1

-6.5

-2.5

Losman starts /

419 San Diego Chargers

1:00

7

 

+4.5

Finally putting it together / WR Chambers a +

420 Minny Vikings

41

+3.5

3RD QB ? / Can’t pass ball / Def bad v pass

421 Seattle Seahawks

4:00

47

 

+4.5

1-8 after Bye / WR Branch prob /

422 Cleveland Browns

1

+3.5

QB Anderson a revelation / Tough at home

423 New England Pats

4:15

5.5

 

+7

REVENGE / hitting on all cylinders

424 Indy Colts

57

-3

+1

3-0 v Pats / WR Harrison ?, LB’s ?

425 Houston Texans

4:15

41.5

 

+9

B2B R, both west coast / QB Rosenfels / RB, WR /

426 Oakland Raiders

3

-5

-1

QB McNown starts /

427 Dallas Cowboys

8:15

3

 

+6.5

After Bye / WR Owens returns to Philly

428 Philly Eagles

46.5

-2.5

+1.5

Have been inconsistent / Do or die game

BYE: Chicago, Miami , Giants, St. Lou.

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 5, 2007

431 Baltimore Ravens

8:30

36.5

 

+15.5

After Bye / McNair starts / 2-0 v Pitt LY

432 Pittsburgh Steelers

9

-11.5

-7.5

Revenge / Playing well

 
BPR Results
 Winners - JETS, DETROIT, BUFFALO, MINNY, INDY
 Losers - Jax, PHILLY
No Plays - Green Bay, TAMPA, San Fran, PITTSBURGH, OAKLAND
BPR Results - 5-2
 

Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone Under 21 Years of Age

The Legend

ATS – Against Spread

aft - after

bfr - before

BPR - Ben’s Power Rating

B2B – Back To Back

BOUNCE – Opp. result

D – Dog

Def - defense

DDD – Double Digit Dog

DDF - Double Digit Favorite

DIV - Division

F – Favorite

L - Loss

SAND - Sandwich game

 

H – Home

HD – Home Dog

HF – Home Favorite

HOME TEAM – In Capitals

LW – Last Week

LY – Last Year

N-DIV - Non Division

O/U – Over /Under

OFF – Offense

R – Road

REV – Revenge

SU – Straight Up

V - Versus

W - Win