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Super Bowl XLII Results

Volume X - Super Bowl XLIII Week

February 2, 2009

2008 Results

      

Last Week

Year to Date

%

Ben's Power Rating (BPR)

0-0

43-51-1

46%

Ben's Super Bowl Pick

5* PITTSBURGH v Arizona --- The bottom line here is, the Steelers are the better team overall.

   Pittsburgh has the #1 defense and can attack the Cardinals in many ways. The blitz can come at Warner from anywhere on the field and they can also drop back in coverage and make it difficult for Fitzgerald and Boldin to find any open spaces. I also believe the Cardinals resurgent running game, with Edgrin James, will not be much of a factor versus the Steel Curtain.

   On offense Pittsburgh has the advantage if being able to attack the Cardinals on the ground and through the air. Although, this is assuming WR Hines Ward will be able to make his presence felt. This is very important because when Ward went out versus the Ravens, the Pittsburgh offense was slowed. The Steelers also have the advantage in Special Teams and a better clutch kicker.

   I believe the Steelers will pressure Warner early and force him to make an error that will give the Steelers an early 10 or 14 point lead. When the Cardinals abandon the run, and the Steelers pin back their ears, Warner will be forced into one or two more turnovers, which will break the game wide open.

   Can the Cardinals win or cover the 7 points? Certainly, if the game goes their way early and they are fortunate enough to get an early turnover they may be able to hang on and cover the spread. However, that’s a big ‘IF’. The Steelers have the ability to overcome any mistakes they make, the Cardinals do not. I believe the Steelers are the better team and will win the game. If the Cardinals are good enough to hang within the 7 points, or lucky enough to get a backdoor cover in the waning minutes, OH WELL. That’s why if you take the Steelers try to find a line -6˝ or buy the half off the 7. If the line goes to 7˝, or greater, definitely decrease your bet. Don’t forget to check the status of WR Hines Ward before the game. Thanks and Good Luck, Ben

 

5* PITTSBURGH 34 --- ARIZONA 17

Loser

_________________________________________________________

 

Potential BPR Plays

                Remember, compare the BPR (Ben’s Power Rating) to the spread and if there’s a difference of 4 points or more, in your favor, then that’s a potential play. Below are the potential plays for this week, I have already added the 4 points (Check individual game’s for line changes):

 

·       Arizona +7.5 or greater

 

 

 

 

 

SUPER BOWL XLIII
RAYMOND JAMES STADIUM – TAMPA , FLORIDA

 

NFL

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 1, 2009

 

Potential BPR Plays in Bold

EST

Line Close

BPR

Play If

Final

 

Pittsburgh Steelers

6:20

7

-3.5

+1

27  

 

Arizona Cardinals

46

 

+7.5

23  

 

 

 

Closing Lines by vegasinsider.com

BPR Results
 Winners - None
 Losers - None
No Plays - Arizona
BPR Results - 0-0
 

Information Purposes Only - Not Intended For Anyone Under 21 Years of Age

The Legend

ATS – Against Spread

aft - after

bfr - before

BPR - Ben’s Power Rating

B2B – Back To Back

BOUNCE – Opp. result

D – Dog

Def - defense

DDD – Double Digit Dog

DDF - Double Digit Favorite

DIV - Division

F – Favorite

L - Loss

SAND - Sandwich game

 

H – Home

HD – Home Dog

HF – Home Favorite

HOME TEAM – In Capitals

LW – Last Week

LY – Last Year

N-DIV - Non Division

O/U – Over /Under

OFF – Offense

R – Road

REV – Revenge

SU – Straight Up

V - Versus

W - Win